Let’s get started at Bank of America Stadium where the Belk Bowl will take place.
A Closer Look At The Top College Football Bowls Third Round Betting Picks
2016 Belk BowlWho: Arkansas Razorbacks (7-5) at Virginia Tech Hokies (9-4) When: Thursday, Dec. 29, 2016
Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Time: 5:30 PM ET
NCAAF Odds: Virginia Tech -6 / Total: 62
Arkansas (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) lost two of their final three games and comes into this matchup off a humbling 28-24 loss to Missouri in their regular season finale as quarterback Austin Allen passed for 348 yards and one touchdown but tossed two costly interceptions. The Arkansas Razorbacks have put up a slid 30.8 points per game to rank a respectable 55th in scoring nationally as Allen has passed for 3,152 yards with 23 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Defensively, Arkansas has given up a generous 30.7 points per game to rank an uninspiring 84th in points allowed.
Virginia Tech (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS) had their modest two-game winning streak snapped in their 42-35 loss to No. 2 Clemson in their ACC Championship game loss as quarterback Jerod Evans passed for 264 yards and one score but tossed two costly interceptions in the loss. The Hokies have put up 35.0 points per game as Evans has passed for a stellar 3,309 yards with 27 touchdowns while also leading the Hokies in rushing with 759 yards and 10 scores. Defensively, Virginia Tech has limited the opposition to 22.6 points per game to rank an encouraging 30th in points allowed nationally.
While 53 percent of public bettors like Arkansas to cover the spread, I don’t see it happening after watching the Razorbacks get pounded by Auburn 56-3 and LSU, 38-10 over their final five games, not to mention their season-ending loss against a really mediocre Missouri team. Virginia Tech has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in the month of December.
While Arkansas has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following an SU loss, the Razorbacks are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 neutral-site games and 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall. Virginia Tech quarterback Jerod Evans is extremely difficult to contain with his dual-threat ability and I believe he will be the difference-maker in this contest as the Hokies win and narrowly cover the spread!
Virginia Tech 35 Arkansas 27
2016 Nova Home Loans Arizona BowlWho: South Alabama Jaguars (6-6) at Air Force Falcons (9-3)
When: Friday, Dec. 30, 2016 at 5:30 PM ET
Where: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
NCAAF Odds: Air Force -14 / Total: 57.5
South Alabama (6-6 SU, 3-8-1 ATS) has alternated SU wins and losses over their last five games and come into the Arizona Bowl off a hard-fought 35-28 win over New Mexico in their regular season finale.
The Jaguars average a modest 25.7 points per game to rank 89th in scoring nationally s quarterback Dallas Davis has completed a modest 58.0 percent of his passes for 2,461 yards with 10 TD passes, but 11 costly interceptions. Defensively, South Alabama allows 25.5 points per contest to rank 50th in points allowed nationally.
The Air Force Falcons (9-3 SU, 5-7 ATS) won their final five games and come into this matchup off a hard-fought 27-20 win over Boise State in their regular season finale. Former starting quarterback Nate Romine (10 TDs, 4 INTs) has taken a back seat to dual-threat signal-caller Arion Worthman (3 TDs, 2 INTs). On the season, Air Force averaged a solid 34.3 points per game to rank an impressive 36th in scoring nationally.
Defensively, the Falcons allowed 26.7 points per game to rank a respectable 53rd in points allowed. Air Force forced their opponents into 20 turnovers to finish the season at +3 in turnover differential. Maybe it’s me, but I’m trying to figure out why 35 percent of the betting public likes South Alabama to cover the spread in this contest.
I’m going to urge you to roll with the convincing 65 percent of public bettors that like Air Force to get the job done, seeing as how they have the far more explosive offense in this affair and a nearly identical kind of defense. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last dozen games against a team with a winning record and 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games overall.
Conversely, Air Force has gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following an SU win. The Falcons roll to a big win and easy ATS cover.
Air Force 42 South Alabama 24
2016 Valero Alamo BowlWho: Oklahoma State Cowboys (9-3) at Colorado Buffaloes (10-2)
When: Thursday, Dec. 29, 2016 at 9:00 PM ET
Where: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
NCAAAF Odds: Colorado -3 / Total: 64
The Cowboys (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) had their four-game winning streak snapped by falling to Oklahoma 38-20 in their finale while failing to cover the spread as a 12-point underdog.
Oklahoma State is averaging an impressive 38.6 points per game to rank 20th nationally in scoring as quarterback Mason Rudolph passed for 3,777 yards with 25 TD passes and just four interceptions while completing an impressive 63.0 percent of his passes. Unfortunately, the Cowboys were mediocre at best defensively as they allowed 28.0 to rank a mediocre 65th in points allowed nationally.
Colorado (10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS) had a fantastic season despite losing to No. 4 Washington 41-10 in the Pac-12 Championship game and never coming close to covering the spread as an 8-point underdog. Colorado averages an impressive 32.8 to rank 43rd in scoring nationally as quarterback Sefo Liufau passed for 2,171 yards with 11 TD passes and six interceptions while rushing for 494 yards and seven scores. Liufau injured his ankle and is questionable for this contest. Defensively, the Buffaloes limited the opposition to just 20.4 to rank a stellar 18th in points allowed nationally.
A narrow 53 percent of public bettors like Oklahoma State to cover the college football betting line as a 3-point underdog, but I don’t, mostly because I believe the Buffaloes have a big edge on defense and more motivation to show they can play with anyone. I know Oklahoma State is 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss, but the Cowboys are also 2-4 ATS in their last six meeting against Colorado and will face a Buffaloes team that has gone 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after rushing for more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
This game will ultimately boil down to Colorado’s defense versus Oklahoma State’s offense and since defense wins championships, I say the Buffaloes narrowly cover in a thriller.
Colorado 28 Oklahoma State 24