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With Heisman trophy favorite Lamar Jackson, Wisconsin’s stingy defense – and Oklahoma State’s high-scoring offense all taking center stage, let’s get started.
Here’s A Closer Look At The Top College Football Highlight Trio Of Week 8 ATS Free Picks
North Carolina State at No. 7 Louisville
When: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 12:00 PM ETWhere: Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium
NCAAF Odds: Louisville -18
Analysis:
The NC State Wolfpack (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) will look to bounce back from their crushing 24-17 loss against No. 3 Clemson when they visit Lamar Jackson and the seventh-ranked Louisville Cardinals, but I just don’t see it happening, although I do like the Wolfpack to cover the spread as an insane 18-point favorite after watching them easily cash in as 20-point dogs against the Tigers.
Louisville (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) got past Duke 24-14 in a hard-fought matchup this past weekend and I think the Cards are in for another tough battle in this contest. While Louisville ranks a stellar second in scoring at 52.3 points per game, NC State is limiting the opposition to just 18.6 points per game this season to rank 17th nationally in points allowed.
While Louisville has gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight games, North Carolina State has gone 5-1 ATS in its last six games and a bankroll-boosting 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games.
My Pick: Louisville 28 NC State 24
No. 10 Wisconsin at Iowa
When: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 12:00 PM ETWhere: Kinnick Stadium
NCAAF Odds: Wisconsin -3
Analysis:
The 10th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers have lost two straight while the Iowa Hawkeyes have won two in a row. Still, it is the Badgers that are my pick to march into Iowa’s Kinnick Stadium and walk out with a victory. Iowa (5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS) got past Purdue 49-35 in a high-scoring affair while covering the spread as a 12-point favorite, but for me, seeing the Hawkeyes give up a whopping 35 points leads me to believe they’re in trouble against a much better Wisconsin team.
Wisconsin (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) is coming off a heartbreaking 30-23 loss against Ohio State on Saturday just one week after their equally disheartening 14-7 loss to Michigan, but the fact of the matter is that Wisconsin is about as elite as it gets this season. I think the Hawkeyes will have their hands full with Badgers running back Corey Clement and I like the continued maturation of redshirt freshman quarterback Alex Hornibrook.
While Wisconsin has gone 7-1 ATS in its last eight games, Iowa is just 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine games. Making matters worse, Wisconsin is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games while Iowa has gone 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine home games. The Badgers win and cover the spread with room to spare.
My Pick: Wisconsin 28 Iowa 17
Oklahoma State at Kansas
When: Saturday, October 22, 2016 at 12:00 PM ETWhere: Memorial Stadium
NCAAF Odds: Oklahoma State -24.5
Analysis:
Oklahoma State (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) has given up at least 30 points in every single game this season, but the Cowboys are still the easy pick for me to not only get past one-win Kansas(1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS), but to cover the spread as an emphatic Week 8 lock! The Jayhawks got completely man-handled in their convincing 49-7 Week 7 loss against Baylor while never coming close to covering the spread as an insane 33-point underdog.
Oklahoma State didn’t look particularly overwhelming, but managed to get past Iowa State 38-31 on Saturday despite failing to cash in as a 14.5-point favorite. The Cowboys have the huge edge in scoring as they average 18.6 points per game more than the Jayhawks (22.0 ppg) while also allowing exactly 7.0 points per game less than their Big 12 rivals defensively this season.
More importantly, the Cowboys have a potent offense that can put points on the board in a hurry while Kansas struggles to score the ball no matter who they’re playing. While Oklahoma State is just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games, Kansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games, 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and an uninspiring 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Oklahoma State. The Cowboys win going away to cover the college football betting line.
My Pick: Oklahoma State 49 Kansas 17
