Top College Football Over/Under Trio Of Matchups In The Spotlight!
Washington at UtahWhen: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016
Where: Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah
What a conundrum this Week 9 Pac-12 pairing is as far as the Total is concerned. One the one hand, you have two teams that can score the ball consistently with Washington Huskies (6-1 O/U) putting up a stellar 48.3 points per game and Utah (4-4 O/U) averaging 29.9 points per contest. On the other hand, both teams have stingy defenses with the Huskies limiting their opponents to just 14.6 points per contest while the Utes allow 21.6 points per game. So, what’s the right pick for this matchup? The Over!
Utah is coming off a 52-45 win over UCLA the last time out while Washington rolled all over Oregon State 41-17 to remain unbeaten. With a total sitting at a manageable 52.5 points, I really like the Over. The Over is 4-0 in Washington’s last four games and an identical 4-0 in the Huskies’ last four road dates. The Over is also 6-0 in Washington’s last six games against a team with a winning record and a near-perfect 9-1 in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Not only that, but the Over is 4-0 in Utah’s last four games after they gave up at least 450 total yards in their previous game and 8-3 in their last 11 games following an SU win and 4-2 in their last six games overall. I expect Washington approach the 40-point mark while Utah puts 17-21 points on the board.
Miami at Notre DameWhen: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016
Where: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-3 O/U) have lost two straight and four of their last five games and were on the wrong end of a humbling 17-10 loss against Stanford in a game that played well Under the 53-point total the last time they took the field two weeks ago. The Miami Hurricanes (4-3 O/U) got pounded in its emphatic 37-16 blowout loss against explosive Virginia Tech this past weekend in a game that finished just over the 52.5-point total. For this Week 9 matchup, I’m going to encourage you to play the Under with both of these teams playing Under the total in two of their last three games and Miami not scoring more than 19 points in three straight games.
The Under is 9-2 in Miami’s last 11 games following a bye week and 16-5-1 in Notre Dame’s last 22 games following a bye. The Under is also 22-9 in Notre Dame’s last 31 games against teams from the ACC and 12-5 in their last 17 games in the month of October. With Miami struggling mightily to find the end zone these days, the Under is the pick!
Pick: Under 58.5 Total Points
Georgia at FloridaWhen: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, October 29, 2016
Where: EverBank Field
The Georgia Bulldogs are coming off an uninspiring 17-16 loss against mediocre Vanderbilt the last time out in a contest that played well Under the game’s 42.5-point total. The Florida Gators rolled all over struggling Missouri en route to a commanding 40-14 win that played just Over the game’s 51-point O/U Total. Now, with the Gators looking to hold on to their slim CFB Playoff hopes, I’m thinking a pick for the Under is in order! First and foremost, Florida ranks a stupendous second nationally in points allowed (12.0 ppg). Combine that with the fact that both of these teams can be mediocre at best on offense.
The Total has gone 5-2 in Florida’s last 7 games following an ATS win and an identical 5-2 in their last seven games following a win of at least 20 points. The Total has also gone Under in eight straight games when Georgia allows less than 20 points in their previous game and 4-0 in the Bulldogs’ last four neutral site games. The Under is also 9-1 in Georgia’s last 10 against a team with a winning record and 11-3 in their last 14 games overall. Last but not least, cementing this pick for me is the fact that the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these longtime rivals.
Pick: Under 43.5 Total Points