Triple Play College Football Week 7 Upset Picks

Posted by Tony Newborn on Tuesday,October 7, 2014 8:18, EST in

Our upset picks in Week 6 for college football did very well. We went 2 and 1 after TCU upset Oklahoma and ASU upset USC. Our third upset pick, LSU over Auburn, turned out to be absolutely terrible. LSU wasn’t competitive at all in a game that was decided well before the half. Let’s see if we can be as successful with our upset picks in Week 7 as we were with our upset picks for Week 6. All of the picks below are on the NCAA football betting money line.

Bet My Triple Play College Football Week 7 Upset Picks

BYU Cougars at UCF Knights

When: Thursday, Oct. 9 at 7:30 pm ET
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: UCF -3

Analysis: It was difficult to see BYU’s terrific QB, Taysom Hill, go down with the leg injury last Friday night. Hill was the main reason that BYU had a shot to go undefeated this season. After Hill went down, nobody could have expected BYU get up enough to beat rival Utah State, an unheralded but talented squad that could find itself in a bowl game this season. But BYU is a tough program with a tough group of kids. Expect the offense to change some for the UCF game with the Cougars relying more on their rushing attack and usually staunch defense in order to contain UCF. None of the defensive players who appeared to suffer injuries against Utah State are listed on this week’s injury report and this game is on Thursday.

We have to believe that BYU’s defense will come out and stop UCF while the offensive play calling will help new quarterback Christian Stewart find some success. BYU on the moneyline looks like a solid play.

Pick: BYU Cougars

Georgia Bulldogs at Missouri Tigers

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 at 12:00 pm ET
TV: CBS
Betting Line: Georgia -3

Analysis: If the first 6 weeks of this college football season has taught us anything, it’s that the SEC is a rock solid conference with no real stand out team. Missouri was dead to rights versus South Carolina in their last game but, miraculously, found a way to beat the Gamecocks and now sit on a 4 and 1 straight up record. The Tigers are also 3 and 2 against the spread and 3 point home dogs this Saturday versus a Georgia team that may or may not be much better than they are.

The trends point to Missouri definitely covering the spread since they are 5 and 1 ATS in their last 6 games and the Bulldogs are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games. The line is only 3 points. Why not take a shot on Missouri to beat Georgia straight up as the home dog? After all, Georgia lost to the only team that they’ve had to face on the road so far this season, South Carolina, to the tune of a 38 to 35 score.

Pick: Missouri Tigers

Ole Miss Rebels at Texas A&M Aggies

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 at 9:00 pm ET
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: Texas A&M -3

Analysis: A&M’s offense is absolutely spectacular, but the defense is terrible. The Aggies give up 406.8 yards per game and it’s difficult to see them stopping an Ole Miss team with a QB as good as Bo Wallace. Wallace should have a field day taking apart that Texas A&M defense while Ole Miss’s defense is ranked second in the nation in points allowed at 10.2 and sixth in the nation in total yards allowed at 277.6. Kenny Hill, after a spectacular start to the season, has taken a step back. He’s still a young quarterback that will have to develop.

Wallace on the other hand is a grizzled senior that has seen it all in the SEC. I’ll go with the grizzled senior.

Pick: Ole Miss Rebels