Navy @ UConn College Football Lines Analysis

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 24, 2015 in

The Week 4 matchup between the 2-1 Connecticut Huskies and the 2-0 Navy Midshipmen is anticipated to be packed with tantalizing football action, as the two teams battle it out to secure a third win for the season. The two programs last met at Rentschler Field on September 30, 2006 when the Midshipmen managed to record a 41-17 road upset against the Huskies. Can we have a repeat of the same, or will we be having a different NCAA Football betting odds winner this time round? Follow us, as we take you through a preview of how the game could unfold on Saturday.

How To Bet the Huskies vs. the Midshipmen NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

Venue: Rentschler Field, East Hartford, CT
Date: Saturday, September 26, 2015
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Game Odds: Navy (-6) at Connecticut (+6)

Betting on the Midshipmen

Navy is coming off a second consecutive victory at home after securing a 45-21 victory over East Carolina. If the Midshipmen can carry their home form to the road,  getting a win at the Rentschler Field should be possible, considering the Huskies have not been that impermeable in their home field. In their last game, the Midshipmen did not overwhelm East Carolina, owning just a 456-405 edge in yards, but they were able to force two turnovers that proved pivotal, as the running game took full advantage of the mistakes.

QB Keenan Reynolds gave the Midshipmen 41 yards in the air on 4-of-7 passing with a 23- yarder to DeBrandon Sanders. Reynolds also excelled in his ground game with 142 yards on his 24 touches, along with 5 TDs on the ground. Reynolds’ strong ground game was supported by Chris Swain, who gave the Midshipmen another 123 yards performance with a score on 29 totes. With the running game being the obvious strength for the Midshipmen, there’s probably no need to change much offensively. A similar run-oriented performance should be adopted against the Huskies, with the defense also tightening up things at the back to limit Connecticut’s passing and rushing game.

Betting on the Huskies

The Huskies suffered a 6-9 road loss in the hands of Missouri in Week 3 and a win against the Midshipmen will be a major boost for them, as they look to compile a good season. Although the Huskies have not been a big offense threat over the years, their capacity and preference to control the clock and scoreboard has been able to help them in securing victories. However, despite battling tirelessly throughout the game against Missouri and managing to control the scoreboard and clock, the tactic was not enough to evade the loss.

During the game, both defenses stood out, but Missouri edged out the Huskies in yards allowed, recording 270 against Connecticut’s 233. In addition, each program lost a fumble and threw an interception, and Connecticut was whistled for eight penalties. The Huskies also struggled on the ground, recording just over two yards per carry. QB Bryant Shirreffs and his passing was the only way Connecticut could move the ball, as he managed 156 yards on 17 of 26 pass attempts.

A change of tact, particularly in terms of running and passing the ball more speedily in the offense, should thus be employed if the Huskies are to have a winning chance over the undefeated Midshipmen.

The Navy @ UConn Key Betting Trends

•    The Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games
•    The Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
•    The Huskies are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games
•    The Midshipmen are 5-0 SU in their last five games
•    The Huskies are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games
•    The Midshipmen are 5-1 SU in their last six games on the road

My Expert Game Analysis & Prediction

The Midshipmen and their triple-threat offensive game has worked quite well, with the team scoring over 40 points in each of its first two opening games. The Huskies, on the flipside, are coming into this game with a dented momentum, having lost their previous game. So whereas the home support in Connecticut will be a big boost, Reynolds and Navy look most capable of doing enough to not only win the game, but also covering the 6-point spread, as the total surges well past the 50-point mark for an OVER.