USC vs Iowa 2019 Holiday Bowl Lines & Expert Pick.

USC vs Iowa 2019 Holiday Bowl Lines & Expert Pick

Written by on December 26, 2019

The USC Trojans and Iowa Hawkeyes will both be looking to extend their winning ways to cap off their respective seasons when they square off in the 2019 Holiday Bowl on Friday, December 27 at 8:00 PM ET, live from San Diego Country Credit Union Stadium. Now, with both teams going all-out for the confidence-boosting victory, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their Mybookie NCAAF Odds.

USC vs Iowa 2019 Holiday Bowl Lines & Expert Pick

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Why Bet On USC?

USC might be underdogs, but there are several good reasons to back the Trojans in this affair. USC has won three straight and five of their last six games overall including an emphatic 5-35 spanking of longtime rival UCLA in their Pac-12 finale. Then, there’s the fact that USC has the more potent offense in this matchup by putting up a healthy 33.2 points per game (36th) to Iowa’s far more modest 23.8 points per contest (99th).

Starting quarterback Kyle Slovis has passed for 3,242 yards with 28 touchdowns and nine interceptions. The Trojans also have one of the top receivers in the nation in wideout Michael Pittman Jr. who has caught 95 balls for 1,200 yards and 11 touchdowns to rank in the top ten nationally in both categories.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 33.17
  • Passing Yards: 335.92
  • Rushing Yards: 126.25
  • Yards per Play: 6.61

Defense

  • Points per Game: 27.25
  • Passing Yards: 248.58
  • Rushing Yards: 166.58
  • Yards per Play: 5.74

Why Bet On Iowa?

Iowa won their final three games of the season and five of their last six overall including a narrow 27-24 win over Nebraska in their finale. The Hawkeyes have an elite defense that ranks fifth nationally in points allowed (13.2 ppg). Iowa has gone 3-2 on the road this season and the Hawkeyes have held six of their last 10 opponents to 17 points or less while limiting four of their last 10 opponents to 10 points or less.

USC vs Iowa is going to be a close one.

Unfortunately, quarterback Nathan Stanley had a disappointing senior season by tossing just 14 touchdown passes and seven interceptions after tossing an identical 26 TD passes in his sophomore and junior seasons. True freshman running back Tyler Goodson has rushed for a team-high 590 yards and four touchdowns while Mekhi Sargent has rushed for 543 yards and an identical four scores.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 23.83
  • Passing Yards: 230.25
  • Rushing Yards: 139.50
  • Yards per Play: 5.54

Defense

  • Points per Game: 13.17
  • Passing Yards: 183.67
  • Rushing Yards: 120.58
  • Yards per Play: 4.75

USC vs Iowa 2019 Holiday Bowl Betting Trends

  • Hawkeyes are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games played on a Friday
  • Hawkeyes are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games when playing as the favorite
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa’s last 8 games played in December
  • Trojans are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on a Friday
  • Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played in December
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California’s last 6 games this season

Expert Analysis & Score Prediction for USC vs Iowa

While USC has the edge offensively, the Trojans certainly didn’t play the same caliber of competition in the mediocre PAC-12 that Iowa did in the loaded Big Ten and I believe that taking on nationally-ranked rivals like Michigan, Penn State, Wisconsin and Minnesota has hardened Iowa this season in a positive way. After getting off to a modest 4-2 start through six games, the Hawkeyes closed out the season playing their best football by going 5-1 over their last six.

USC has gone an uninspiring 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog, 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. Conversely, Iowa has gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. I like Iowa’s stingy defense to shut down USC’s dangerous offense much the way they did against Michigan, Penn State and Minnesota, who they all limited to 19 points or less this season.

Score: USC 24 – Iowa 28

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