Bet My College Football Odds Week 7 Lock Picks

Posted by Tony Newborn on Tuesday,October 7, 2014 7:59, EDT in

It’s never easy to come up with lock picks in the NCAA football betting scene. The problem is that what seems like a lock, for example, East Carolina versus Southern Methodist, never turns out to be a true lock. Why? It’s that darn point spread that always screws things up. ECU had nothing to play for versus SMU. So, what did the Pirates do? They coasted to an easy victory but they didn’t cover the spread.But the teams below don’t have the luxury, or gentlemanly attitudes, to lay off of the gas pedal when they get a huge lead over a team. Then, there are some teams below that are just hard fighting squads that find a way to win and always seem to cover the spread. Let’s get to our Week 7 lock picks!

Why You Should Bet My College Football Week 7 Lock Picks

Florida State Seminoles at Syracuse Orange

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 at 12:00 pm ET
TV: ESPN
Betting Line: Florida State -22.5

Analysis: The real Florida State Seminoles finally showed up in Week 6 when it soundly beat Wake Forest 43 to 3 as a -37.5 favorite. It was the first cover for the Seminoles this season. They figure to continue to cover games from here on out because the defense has finally gelled. Coach Jimbo Fisher did tell everybody that it took last season’s championship defense a few games to get going and he thought it might take this season’s defense to do the same.

The problem with Syracuse is that their defense, even though it causes turnovers, hasn’t faced an offense as talented as Florida State’s. Not only that, but Syracuse’s offense is absolutely terrible at converting the turnovers that the defense gets into points. Florida State should roll in this game.

Pick: Florida State Seminoles -22.5

Oregon Ducks at UCLA Bruins

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 at 3:30 pm ET
TV: FOX
Betting Line: Oregon -2.5

Analysis: Which team is in a worse position? Oregon after their loss to Arizona or UCLA after their loss to Utah? We’re going with Oregon being in a worse position because the Ducks have absolutely no defense. Opponents rack up 453.8 yards per game against the Oregon D. That’s going to be an issue for the Ducks because even though UCLA lost to Utah straight up, the Bruins racked up 406 yards against a Utah defense that allows only 376 yards per game on average. Nobody can claim that Arizona quarterback Anu Solomon is better than UCLA signal-caller Brett Hundley.

The Bruins won’t mind getting into a shootout. They’re at home and they deserve the nod against an over ranked squad in Oregon with a bad defense and absolutely horrible offensive line.

Pick: UCLA Bruins +2.5

North Carolina Tar Heels at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

When: Saturday, Oct. 11 at 3:30 pm ET
TV: NBC
Betting Line: Notre Dame -16.5

Analysis: 16.5 is a lot of points to give up, right? It isn’t if you’re Notre Dame and you’re playing a team that is 0 and 5 against the spread this season. North Carolina has one of the worst defenses in college football. The unit allows 42 points per game and 506 yards per. The defense is absolutely horrendous. Notre Dame should have no trouble exploiting a bad defense with a rushing attack that goes for 153 yards per game and a passing attack that goes for over 276 yards per. The Irish score 31 points per game.

The Irish defense could shut down North Carolina. It’s one of the best defenses in all of college football, one that allows only 12 points per contest and 316 yards. Expect the Irish to roll against the Tar Heels on Saturday.

Pick: Notre Dame Irish -16.5