2016 Buffalo Bills Season Win Total Predictions

Posted by Jordan Walterss on July 18, 2016 in

The longest playoff drought in the NFL belongs to the Buffalo Bills. In fact, with the Toronto Blue Jays of Major League Baseball reaching the postseason last year in that sport, the Bills now hold the longest playoff drought among the four major North American sports. They have not appeared in the playoffs since 1999, which has been the longest-running NFL postseason drought for the past several years. Will that change this year? The Bills have a wins total of 8 on NFL odds, with both the over and under at -110.

Here’s a Closer Look at the 2016 Buffalo Bills Season Win Total Predictions

Total Win/Loss Odds Overview

One big question hanging over the team is a potential contract extension for QB Tyrod Taylor. He is resigned to playing out the year without an extension.

“The contract situation will play out,” Taylor said. “My mindset is to go out there and win games.”

In other words, he’s betting on himself. Taylor’s value is extremely difficult to peg after a promising, but uneven, season. The sides are reportedly open to an in-season extension, but those are rare for a quarterback.

Taylor has a base salary of $3.1 million this season, which is a bargain for a starting quarterback. By comparison, quarterbacks such as Case Keenum ($3.6 million), Mark Sanchez ($4.5 million), Sam Bradford ($7 million) and Colin Kaepernick ($11.9 million) all have higher salaries without the type of production Taylor had last season.

Taylor threw for 3,035 yards, 20 touchdowns and had a 99.4 passer rating in his first year as a starter. Another quality season could lead to a sizable payday in 2017. However, Taylor is keeping his focus on the field with training camp set to begin later this month. Taylor waited four years for his opportunity to become a full-time starter. He was a former sixth-round pick of the Baltimore Ravens in 2011 and previously served as Joe Flacco’s backup.

Why Betting On The Over

If you believe that pressure is a good thing for coaches, then the Bills should have a good season as Coach Rex Ryan essentially has been told he will be fired if the team doesn’t make the playoffs. Hall of Fame quarterback and Bills franchise icon Jim Kelly believes Ryan will be fired if the Bills do not make the playoffs this season.

“I think Rex will probably be looking for another job,” Kelly said recently. “I think everybody knows that, including Rex.”

Entering his second season as Bills coach, Ryan is looking to improve on a disappointing 8-8 record last season. Ryan risks becoming the fourth coach since the AFL-NFL merger in 1970 to miss the playoffs in six consecutive seasons. He would join Chuck Knox (1989-1994), Jack Patera (1976-81) and Bart Starr (1975-81).

Why Betting On The Under

Buffalo got some bad news over the weekend with a four-game suspension handed down to second- year running back Karlos Williams for violating the league’s substance abuse policy. Williams rushed for 517 yards and seven touchdowns last season. He was expected to be a major part of Buffalo’s running game as LeSean McCoy’s primary backup.

It has been a lousy offseason for Williams, who also showed up to spring practices overweight. The Bills led the NFL in rushing last year but are dealing with some issues at running back. Rookie Jonathan Williams was arrested and charged earlier last week on suspicion of driving under the influence, and his status remains unclear. McCoy was involved in a nightclub brawl this offseason but was recently cleared and will not face a suspension by the league. The Bills are hoping for a resurgent season for the former Eagles star in 2016. McCoy, who spent a portion of this offseason rehabbing from a nagging ankle injury, rushed for 895 yards and three touchdowns last year over 12 games in Buffalo. He also caught 32 passes for 292 yards and two scores.

Because of all these running back issues, the Bills have reached out to former Heisman Trophy winner Reggie Bush. Bush, 31, still is deciding whether or not to accept the offer. He would add insurance behind s McCoy while the team waits out Williams’ suspension. Bush played in just five games in 2015 before suffering a season-ending knee injury. Bush’s injury history is a concern in itself. In 10 NFL seasons, the veteran has played a full 16-game slate twice.

My Betting Prediction

Hard team to read, but I believe the Bills will go 9-7 so go over the total on NFL betting lines.