2016 Carolina Panthers Season Win Total Prediction

Posted by Jordan Walterss on Monday,July 25, 2016 11:51, EST in

The Carolina Panthers almost were an all-time team in 2015. They finished with the second-best regular- season record in history at 15-1, only losing in Week 16 in Atlanta. The Panthers then beat the Seattle Seahawks and Arizona Cardinals to reach the second Super Bowl in franchise history. Alas, the Panthers weren’t able to win their first title as they were upset by the Denver Broncos in Super Bowl 50. Can they get back this year? They have a wins total of 10.5 in online NFL betting — that’s tied for the highest total in the NFL.

Here’s a Look at the 2016 Carolina Panthers Season Win Total Prediction

Total Win/Loss Odds Overview

It would be silly to think the Panthers will flirt with another undefeated season as they did a year ago. But it’s also somewhat difficult to think they will lose more than four games with the bulk of the team that won the NFC Championship back. The overall schedule is harder with rematches against each of their three playoff opponents (Seattle, Arizona, Denver) and a franchise-record five prime-time games. But the rest of the NFC South remains in a rebuilding mode, so a fourth consecutive division title seems likely.

Why Betting On The Over?

Because they have reigning NFL MVP Cam Newton. Newton was a landslide choice for MVP, with 48 votes from a nationwide panel of 50 sportswriters and broadcasters who regularly cover the NFL. In his fifth pro season, Newton also earned the Offensive Player of the Year award.

Newton had a career-best 35 touchdown passes, as well as 10 rushing touchdowns during the regular season. He had a career-best 99.4 passer rating and threw five touchdowns in a game three times in a five-game stretch. In his past 10 games, including the playoffs, he has thrown 26 touchdowns with only three interceptions, for a rating of 119.1.

Super Bowl teams can have a hard time retaining key players. The Panthers lost one of their best when they withdrew the franchise tag from cornerback Josh Norman, letting him sign with Washington. But the Panthers will be adding top receiver Kelvin Benjamin back to the lineup after a knee injury sidelined him for 2015. They added another talented interior defensive lineman in first-round pick Vernon Butler. They also drafted three corners to address Norman’s departure.

The Panthers could easily be 6-0 (Broncos, 49ers, Vikings, Falcons, Bucs, Saints) heading into a matchup with the Cardinals on Oct. 30.

Why Betting On The Under?

Wide receiver Stephen Hill suffered an ACL tear in training camp that was actually worse than the one that ended Benjamin’s sophomore season. Benjamin appears ready to go when training camp begins, but Hill might be limited early. A second-round pick by the Jets in 2012, this might be Hill’s last chance to prove himself.

History has shown that the Super Bowl loser has almost no chance of winning it the next year. No team in the past 43 seasons has lost the Super Bowl and come back to win it the next season. The 1972 Miami Dolphins were the last team to accomplish this. In addition, no team since the 1993 Buffalo Bills lost the Super Bowl and even made it back to the big game the following year.

In the past 43 seasons, the loser of the Super Bowl has made it back to the game five times — 1974 Minnesota Vikings; 1987 Denver Broncos and the Bills in 1991, 1992 and 1993. Only four Super Bowl losers have even made it back to the conference championship game the following season — 1977 Vikings, 1985 Dolphins, 2012 New England Patriots and 2013 San Francisco 49ers. Thus 34 of the past 43 Super Bowl losers were eliminated prior to their conference championship. In addition, 17 Super Bowl losers were one-and- done in the playoffs the next season and 12 missed the playoffs entirely.

My Betting Prediction

If Newton does what he did last season or better, the Panthers will be the team to beat in the NFC. Carolina has had a top-10 defense four consecutive years. There’s no reason that should change. Go over on NFL betting odds.