2016 Dallas Cowboys Season Win Total Prediction

Posted by Jordan Walterss on July 22, 2016 in

Normally when you win just four games one season, you aren’t expected to win that many more in the following campaign. But the main reason the Dallas Cowboys slid to 4-12 in 2015 was because star quarterback Tony Romo was limited to four games due to breaking the same collarbone twice. Clearly oddsmakers expect plenty more from Dallas this year with Romo healthy as the Cowboys lead the NFC East with a wins total of 9.5 in online NFL betting.

Taking a Closer Look at the 2016 Dallas Cowboys Season Win Total Prediction

Total Win/Loss Odds Overview

When Romo went down for the second time in Week 12 with a clavicle injury, it spelled the end of the Cowboys’ season. The Cowboys went 3-1 with Romo in the lineup, and 1-11 without him. These Cowboys will have a healthy Romo, top receiver Dez Bryant and cornerback Orlando Scandrick, who played 13 of a combined 48 games a year ago because of injury. That is better than any free agent or draft additions made by other teams in the division.

Why Betting On The Over?

If Romo can stay healthy. But he hasn’t played a full season since 2012. He missed the 2013 season finale that was winner-take- all against the Eagles because of a back injury. He missed one game in 2014 because of two fractured transverse processes. And then the 12 games last year. But since Romo became the Cowboys’ full-time quarterback, the team has enjoyed a record of 78-49. The Cowboys have also made the playoffs four times in Romo’s tenure, yet he only has two wins to show for it in comparison to four losses.

The Cowboys’ offense will resemble the 2014 version that helped the team win the NFC East. That’s because the Cowboys drafted Ohio State running back Ezekiel Elliott with the No. 4 overall pick in this year’s draft and he’s the Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite. He should help the team in more ways than one, the biggest being helping the Cowboys become more two-dimensional. With three All-Pros at 25 years old on the offensive line and a back like Elliott who can simply do it all in or out of the backfield, Romo will have all of the tools to perhaps have his best statistical season. Plus it means Romo won’t have to pass as much and thus potentially avoid injury.

The offensive line is the team’s biggest strength, and the starting five are back for another season. Led by left tackle Tyron Smith, guard Zack Martin and center Travis Frederick, Dallas’ front excels at pass protection and opening rushing lanes.

Why Betting On The Under?

The Cowboys didn’t address a leaky defense. Dallas used its second-round pick on a player with massive upside in Notre Dame linebacker Jaylon Smith, but he’s expected to sit out the entire 2016 season after suffering a major knee injury in his final college game. Instead of taking Elliott at No. 4 , the team could have grabbed Florida State cornerback Jalen Ramsey there and a pass-rusher who could step on the field immediately (while Dallas’ two top edge rushers are both suspended) at No. 34. The Cowboys did not take a pure pass-rusher until the fourth-round of the draft. They did not draft a cornerback until the sixth round. They signed defensive end Benson Mayowa away from the Oakland Raiders, and he has two career sacks. They kept Morris Claiborne, who has three career interceptions, and Brandon Carr, who has not intercepted a pass since Thanksgiving 2013.

The Cowboys will have to hope that defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli can coax magic out of Mayowa, the highest-profile addition Dallas made to its pass rush. The Cowboys’ glaring need for pass-rush help became even more evident this offseason once Randy Gregory and DeMarcus Lawrence each got suspended the first four games. The Cowboys re-signed middle linebacker Rolando McClain to a one- year deal before he received a 10-game suspension for another substance-abuse violation.

“Right now on paper I don’t think we’ve got anybody who’s ever had 10 sacks in a season on the roster,” executive vice president of personnel Stephen Jones said. “That one sticks out like a sore thumb.”

My Betting Prediction

The 2015 Dallas defense finished last in the NFL in takeaways and turnover margin. It looks worse, not better. Go under this total on NFL betting lines.