Having previously taken a look at the top 2016 NFL betting picks for the first four weeks of the season, let’s continue the series by analyzing and highlighting our NFL Week 5 free picks.
In Depth Analysis On The 2016 NFL Week 5 Winning Predictions
New England Patriots (-7) at Cleveland Browns
NFL Week 5 Free Pick: Cleveland (+7)
Everyone is expecting the Browns to get massacred when Tom Brady makes his first appearance of the season in Week 4 after serving his league-sanctioned four-game suspension. And knowing Brady and the skills he possesses, I would actually be least surprised if that’s what happens in this clash. But then again, bettors could be in for a big surprise in this game. For starters, the Patriots have lost 2 of their last 3 trips to Cleveland, including 34-14 loss in their last visit to the Cleveland Browns Stadium in 2010–a game that the Pats had Brady as the starting QB, yet Cleveland won courtesy of a strong running game engineered by QB Colt McCoy. Additionally, the last meeting between New England Patriots and Cleveland at the Foxboro in 2013 also saw the Browns play very well, with the Pats escaping with an oh-so-close 27-26 victory.
Ahead the of the new season, the starting QB in Cleveland is still not decided, but Robert Griffin III is reportedly the prospected starter, going by the fact that “He’s made tremendous strides” and is “getting better and growing each and every day”, as reported by his new head coach. RG3, like the Cleveland team, has been written off in 2016 for obvious reasons, so there will be nothing to lose here. And as we all know, a team with nothing to lose can be very dangerous, something that could fuel RGIII, top rookie WR Corey Coleman and the entire Browns team to give a hearty fight in this game. So even if they won’t get the home win, new Head Coach Hue Jackson should rally his boys to at least cover the spread against the Patriots and Brady, who will probably not be at his best after a long layoff and in his first game of the season.
Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos (-6.5)
NFL Week 5 Free Pick: Denver (-6.5)
It’s a mystery how Denver’s offense will figure out in 2016 under Mark Sanchez/Paxton Lynch/ Trevor Siemian, but with offensive guru Gary Kubiak as the head coach, the Broncos should do just fine. I mean, last year’s QB situation wasn’t good either, but the Broncos made enough plays all season—and won 11 games by a touchdown or less—en route to their Super Bowl 50 victory, so using the same formula shouldn’t be much of a problem. Not to forget, Von Miller, the new $114.5 million man in Denver, and the Broncos defense will be there to help clean mistakes and keep Denver competitive in nearly all games. Against an average Atlanta team that often struggles on the road and still has a number of defensive vulnerabilities that can be easily exploited, the Broncos (9-5 in 14 all-time meetings against Atlanta) are our recommended online betting pick for the win and a cover of the 6.5-point spread.
New York Giants at Green Bay Packers (-8)
NFL Week 5 Free Pick: New York Giants (+8)
With a 3-0 record in their last 3 straight overall meetings against Green Bay and a 3-1 record in their last four trips to the Lambeau Field, it goes without saying that the Giants have been a thorn in the flesh for the Packers over the recent times. After a busy investment-filled offseason for both teams, the expectation is that this game will be full of fireworks, with Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson and Co. on one side while Eli Manning, Odell Beckham Jr. and Co. fight on the other side. I am leaning on Green Bay to get the win here, but I just don’t see it coming by as many as 8-plus points against a New York team that will most likely use its solid offense to stay in this game all the way to the very last minute. Heck, if the Giants’ defense plays well, the New Yorkers could even walk out of the Lambeau field with another upset win.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-10)
NFL Week 5 Free Pick: Carolina (-10)
If there’s one thing star quarterback Cam Newton proved in his MVP-winning season in 2015, it is that he is a master at destroying weaker opposition. And last I checked, the Buccaneers—even after their improved Jameis Winston-led resurgence in 2015—are still one or two more seasons away from becoming an elite football franchise. Newton and the Panthers, who won all of their home games last year—including the playoffs—and covered the spread in all but two of those games, should therefore be good for the SU and ATS in this breezy Week 5 fixture.