NY Giants at Green Bay Expert Pick & Odds

2016 NFL Winning Odds For The Green Bay Packers

Written by on July 22, 2016

Aaron Rodgers and the Green Packers were a good sport in 2015, handing the divisional keys to the Minnesota Vikings and escorting them all the way to the NFC North title at their own costly expense. Okay, they probably didn’t have much of a choice, given that they were dogged by several injuries throughout the season. Still, when you are a team like Green Bay with a history of injuries messing up your momentum repeatedly; you can’t fail to plan for such eventualities. That’s what team depth and offseason signings are meant for, or so I have heard.

Letting bygones be bygones, it’s the dawn of new season and the anticipation of a big year in Wisconsin is at an all-time high, thanks to a busy offseason that has seen star wide receiver Jordy Nelson return to full health after a season-ending injury in 2015 and a couple of stellar talents joining the team. But most of all, the Packers have something that no other team will be having in the entire league in the name of the easiest Strength of Schedule in 2016.

Can Rodgers and the Packers maximize on these advantages to get back to the top of the NFC North and possibly win it all in the playoffs for the elusive 14th League Championship for the Green Bay franchise?  Join us as we take you through our early NFL Sportsbook betting analysis and verdict on Green Bay and how the team is likely to perform in the upcoming season.

2016 NFL Winning Predictions For The Green Bay Packers


Roster and Playing Schemes Analysis

As long as the mercurial Rodgers and his offensive targets stay healthy, Green Bay Packers offense should remain effective and efficient, as has been proven repeatedly over the past several seasons. I mean, even when Nelson—Rodgers’ most prolific receiver from 2014—missed the whole of the 2015 campaign due to injury, Rodgers somehow still found ways to keep the Packers going, with the team scoring a decent 23 PPG (15th-best in the league) en route to a 10-6 season (second-best in the NFC North).

With an experienced group of offensive linemen to protect Rodgers and his targets, Nelson back in the fold, a veteran like James Jones (890 receiving yards and 8 TDs in 2015) to guide a budding group of young receivers, and household name Eddie Lacy leading the charge in the running game; I’d be surprised if the Packers don’t finish in the top-10 or even top-7 best offenses of the new season.

Green Bay’s defense has been the team’s weakest link for the past couple of years, along with untimely injuries, and much will need to be done if the Packers are to avoid another season of so-close-yet-still-so-far from being a complete unit. On their part, GM Ted Thompson and HC Mike McCarthy have commendably addressed some key needs in the team’s defense via the free agency and the NFL draft. Even so, the buck eventually stops at the players, so the onus will be on the perceived improvements to start showing on the field real soon.

With the softest schedule in the league, the best quarterback on the planet and a dominant history in the NFC North, I don’t see any viable reason the Packers shouldn’t be able to win the divisional title once again and even finish the regular season with the best record in the NFC. NFL betting history has proven that the above-mentioned elements often encourage success in the NFL.

You doubt that, just take a look at the following trends sampled over the past two seasons:

  • In 2014, star quarterback Andrew Luck and the Colts had the softest SOS. That year, Indy not only won the AFC South with an 11-5 record (second-best in the AFC) but went all the way to the AFC Championship game, where it contentiously lost to the Patriots in the now-famous Deflategate Scandal Game.

  • In 2015, another star quarterback in Cam Newton and the Panthers had the 6th-easiest schedule. As you can easily remember, Newton not only led Carolina to a franchise-record 15-1 record (best in the entire NFL), but he also finished as the NFL MVP and spearheaded the Panthers into their surprise Super Bowl appearance.

If these two examples are anything to go by, Rodgers and the Packers should be due for a big year, with the only major schedule challenges being the two games against Minnesota, the home game vs. Dallas and the Week 12 showdown against Seattle.

Final Remarks and Early Green Bay Season Total Prediction

The Packers are averaging 11.2 wins over the past five seasons, and have won four of the last five NFC North titles (including four straight in 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014), with the exception being a second-place finish in 2015 when injuries derailed the team’s effeciency. Their search for another divisional title is therefore not a foreign thing, and given the talent in the team, we strongly believe that their title dreams are valid.

Writer’s Pick: Green Bay OVER 11 Wins, Season Record: 13-3