2018 NFL Week 1 ATS Odds & Picks

2018 NFL Week 1 ATS Odds & Picks

Written by on September 4, 2018

Can Leonard Fournette and the Jacksonville Jaguars take one more step in 2018 to reach Super Bowl 53? Will Eli Manning and the New York Giants rebound after an awful 2017 season that saw them win just three games? Will the Cincinnati Bengals get back into the playoffs following their two-year drought? Can Andrew Luck’s return lift the Indianapolis Colts to heights they haven’t see in a few years now? Last but not least, could Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans upset Tom Brady and the New England Patriots after coming up short of doing so in their Instant Classic thriller a year ago? If you’re looking for NFL Week 1 ATS picks, then look no further.

2018 NFL Week 1 ATS Odds & Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars at New York Giants

When: Sunday, September 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey NFL Week 1 Odds: Jacksonville -3 / Total: 43.5 Jacksonville won their final three preseason games after losing their opener while the ‘new-look’ Giants looked pretty respectable in going 2-2 in the preseason. Still, for this week 1 matchup, I see no way the Giants pull off the upset over a Jacksonville team that is phenomenal defensively and plays a brand of simple brand of old school, smash-mouth’ football that was highly successful last season and should be again in 2018. You should expect the Jags to wear down New York’s defense with battering ram running back Leonard Fournette while their defense largely shuts down the trio of Manning, Beckham Jr. and rookie running back Saquon Barkley. The Giants have a way to go after finishing last season an awful 31st in scoring (15.4 ppg) and uninspiring 27th in points allowed (24.3 ppg). The Jaguars are a robust 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games while Manning and the Giants are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Week 1 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of September. Jacksonville wins and covers the spread people! NFL Week 1 Pick: Jacksonville 27 Giants 20

Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts

Are the Bengals a safe betting pick for NFL Week 1? When: Sunday, September 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET Where: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana NFL Week 1 Odds: Indianapolis -3 / Total: 47 Franchise quarterback Andrew Luck is back this season after missing the entire 2017 campaign with a sore shoulder. While Luck looked fantastic and the Colts looked pretty good in going 3-1 in the preseason, I like Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals to get the outright road win to cover the spread as a 3-point road dog. Cincinnati went 3-1 in the preseason and they’ve got the far better defense in this contest seeing as how they finished 2017 ranked 16th in points allowed last season (21.8 ppg) while Indianapolis finished an uninspiring 30th (25.3 ppg). More importantly, I’m expecting second-year running back Joe Mixon and second-year wide receiver John Ross to make the Bengals downright explosive offensively while they continue to play the same solid to outstanding defense they’ve played under Marvin lewis for the better part of his entire, 16-year tenure with the franchise. Cincinnati is a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last five games against their AFC conference rivals and an encouraging 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall. On the flip side of the coin, Indianapolis has put together a discouraging 1-9 ATS mark in their last 10 Week 1 openers. I like the  Bengals for the big road win. NFL Week 1 Pick: Cincinnati 28 Indianapolis 23

Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-6.5, 51)

When: Sunday, September 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts NFL Week 1 Odds: New England -6 / Total: 51 The Texans looked really good in going 3-1 in the preseason while limiting three of their opponents to 13 points or less. More importantly, Houston has a legitimate star in second-year quarterback Deshaun Watson, that they are hoping can stay healthy after a jaw-dropping preview last season that came to an abrupt halt when Watson tore his ACL. New England also looked solid in going 3-1 in the preseason although Tom Brady saw about as little action as a starter could see without completely sitting out. The Pats held three of their four scrimmage season opponents to 20 points or less For this regular season opener, I’m going with Tom Brady and the Patriots to scratch out a narrow home win, but I certainly don’t see them covering the chalk as a near, touchdown home favorite. The Texans have a phenomenal defense, a ton of talent on the offensive side of the ball and a good head coach in Bill O’Brien. The Patriots have gone an encouraging 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of September, but the Texans have gone a nearly identical 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in September. In the end, I think this spread should be a lot closer to a field goal than a touchdown. The Texans cover and push new England hard for the outright win. NFL Week 1 Pick: Patriots 31 Texans 28