NFL Week 11 Parlay Picks

NFL Week 11 Parlay Picks

Written by on November 13, 2018

Can Ben Roethlisberger and the streaking Pittsburgh Steelers extract some long overdue revenge against Blake Bortles and the reeling Jacksonville Jaguars?

Are Philip Rivers and the red-hot Los Angeles Chargers locks to get past the lowly Denver Broncos when they square off in their AFC West divisional battle?

Last but not least, who’s going to come out on top when the rebuilding Arizona Cardinals host the similarly rebuilding Oakland Raiders?

If you’re an NFL betting buff and you like stringing wagers together as part of a potentially powerful parlay wager, then you should know the trio of Week 11 parlay picks that you’re about to get looks like a value-packed venture just waiting to happen!

Now, let’s get down to business.

NFL Week 11 Parlay Picks

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2-1) at Jacksonville Jaguars (3-6)

  • When: Sunday, November 18 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Week 11 Odds: Pittsburgh -5 / Total: 47.5

Pittsburgh is on fire right now as they ride the wave of a five-game winning streak that includes their emphatic 52-21 beatdown of Cam Newton and Carolina on Thursday night. Ben Roethlisberger passed for 328 yards with five touchdowns with no interceptions while running back James Conner rushed for 65 yards and one score on 13 carries. Cornerback Vince Williams added a 17-yard pick-six against Newton in the win.

“When you convert third downs and score in the red zone, good things happen,” said Roethlisberger. “It always starts up front. You can say what you want about the skill guys, but we’re nothing without them up front.”

While Pittsburgh does allow 2.1 points per game more than Jacksonville defensively, the Steelers also average almost 14 points per game more than the Jaguars offensively. In addition to that, Pittsburgh wants to extract some revenge in the worst way against Jacksonville for their pair of stunning losses against the Jaguars last season, including a 45-42 loss in the divisional round of the playoffs that ended their Super Bowl hopes.

Jacksonville has lost five straight but they got back star running back Leonard Fournette last week and they looked a whole lot more like the team we expected them to coming into the 2018 campaign despite suffering a narrow 29-26 loss to Indianapolis. Fournette returned to rush for 53 yards and one score on 24 carries and added a touchdown catch in the loss.

I’m going to get right to the point with my pick on this Week 11 matchup by saying that I fully and completely expect Pittsburgh to steamroll Jacksonville en route to an emphatic win and ATS cover as 5-point road favorites.

The Steelers are an unblemished 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, a pristine 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Conversely, Jacksonville has gone an uninspiring 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against their AFC counterparts, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an SU or ATS loss and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

The Steelers have the look of a team that is going to be difficult for anyone to dispatch this postseason while everything has fallen apart for Jacksonville one year after they reached the AFC Championship game. Simply put, Pittsburgh wins and covers the spread with room to spare!

NFL Week 11 Pick: Steelers 28 Jaguars 17

Denver Broncos (3-6) at Los Angeles Chargers (7-2)

  • When: Sunday, November 18 2018 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: ROKiT Field at StubHub Center, Carson, CA
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Week 11 Odds: LA Chargers -7 / Total: 47

Denver has lost two straight and six of their last seven games overall including their narrow 19-17 home loss against Houston in Week 9. Case Keenum passed for 290 yards and one touchdown but he got sacked four times and pressured throughout the contest. The Broncos also gave up two passing touchdowns to Houston quarterback Deshaun Watson and the offense failed to put any points on the board in the crucial fourth quarter.

Philip Rivers and the Chargers are en fuego, having won six consecutive games including their 20-6 beatdown over the awful Raiders on Sunday. Rivers passed for 223 yards with two touchdowns and one interception while running back Melvin Gordon added 165 yards of total offense and one touchdown in the win.

With the Broncos looking borderline incompetent and Los Angeles on fire, I’m just going to say that I like the Bolts to cover the spread as a touchdown home favorites by getting the statement-making double-digit win. Los Angeles has limited each of their last five opponents to 19 points or less and they’ve gone an efficient 4-1 ATS over the span.

Denver is completely and utterly mediocre in ranking 19th in scoring (22.8 ppg) and 15th in points allowed (23.7 ppg). The Chargers are raked 10th (26.7 ppg) and eighth respectively (20.7 ppg) and that’s just too good for the struggling Broncos.

The home team in this rivalry has gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and the Broncos are 1-3-1 ATS in the last five meetings. L.A. wins and covers the chalk.

NFL Week 11 Pick: Chargers 27 Broncos 17

Oakland Raiders (1-8) at Arizona Cardinals (2-7)

  • When: Sunday, November 18 2018 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Week 11 Odds: Arizona -4 / Total: 41

Oakland has dropped five in a row heading into Week 11 including their humbling 20-6 home loss against Philip Rivers and the division rival L.A. Chargers on Sunday. Quarterback Derek Carr failed to throw a touchdown pass in the loss and the offense could only manage field goals in the first and fourth quarters.

Arizona put up a good effort, but it wasn’t enough to top Patrick Mahomes and the incendiary Kansas City Chiefs in their 26-14 road loss on Sunday. Rookie quarterback Josh Rosen passed for 208 yards with one touchdown, but he also tossed two costly interceptions in the loss.

While the Cardinals are undeniably in the beginning stages of a rebuild centered around Josh Rosen, Oakland’s Jon Gruden has stunningly decided to blow up his team in an effort to build for the future. To make matters worse, Gruden’s jettisoning of some significant payers like superstar linebacker Khalil Mack, has led to a sense of distrust that has infected their locker room while putting everyone on edge that they too could be next to go.

With all of that said, Oakland has nothing left too play for and they probably want to lose all of their remaining games in an effort to get the top overall pick in the draft. Arizona has been outstanding against the pass and they’re playing at home. The Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November, 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss.

The Cardinals are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and a bankroll-boosting 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. I like Arizona to get it done against an Oakland Raiders team that has clearly quit on head coach Jon Gruden.

NFL Week 11 Pick: Arizona 24 Oakland 17