NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks

NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks

Written by on November 20, 2018

Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks will look to get the upset over Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers when the two NFC playoff hopefuls square off on Sunday.

Will Blake Bortles and the Jacksonville Jaguars avoid the upset against the lowly Buffalo Bills in their matchup of identical, three-win teams?

Last but not least, will Ben Roethlisberger and the red-hot Pittsburgh Steelers be able to extend their winning ways when they hit the Mile High City to take on Case Keenum and the Denver Broncos?

Let’s find out right now where the best betting value lies in all three of these Week 12 matchups.

NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks

Seattle (5-5) at Carolina (6-4)

  • When: Sunday, November 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
  • TV: FOX
  • NFL Week 12 Odds: Carolina -3.5 / Total: 47

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks took down Aaron Rodgers and the Packers 27-24 on Thursday night to halt a modest two-game losing streak and keep their still-legitimate playoff hopes alive.  Russell Wilson threw for for 225 yards and two touchdowns while running back Chris Carson rushed for 83 rushing yards and one touchdown on 17 carries. Seattle shut down Green Bay’s offense by limiting Rodgers and company to just three points.

Carolina went for two – and it cost them when the failed to convert in their heartbreaking  20-19 road loss against Detroit on Sunday  as a 3.5-point road favorite. Cam Newton passed for 357 yards and three TDs but threw an incomplete pass on Carolina’s two-point try with just 1:04 remaining.

Prediction

I had some pretty high hopes for Carolina just a few short weeks ago, but now, I don’t trust them very much at all, especially after seeing the way they rolled over against Pittsburgh in their 52-21 loss two weeks ago. While I haven’t been very impressed with Carolina the last couple of weeks,

I do like the way Seattle has been ‘showing out’  in winning three of their last five games while rushing the ball and playing defense more like they did in their Legion of Boom heyday.

Seattle has the edge defensively and ranks eighth in points allowed (21.6 ppg). I know Carolina has gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games but Seattle is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against their NFC rivals, 4-1-1 ATS in their last half-dozen games overall and a consistent 7-3-2 ATS in their last dozen road games. I like Russell Wilson and the Seahawks for the road upset!

NFL Week 12 Pick: Seattle 27 Carolina 21

Jacksonville (3-7) at Buffalo (3-7)

  • When: Sunday, November 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: New Era Field, Orchard Park, New York
  • TV: CBS
  • NFL Week 12 Odds: Jacksonville -3 / Total: 37.5

Jacksonville has dropped six consecutive games, but the Jaguars have looked a lot more like the team we expected the last two weeks, even in falling to Pittsburgh 20-16 as a 4-point home underdog on Sunday. Mediocre veteran quarterback Blake Bortles passed for 104 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions while running back Leonard Fournette carried the load on offense with 95 rushing yards and one score on 28 carries. Jacksonville’s defense picked off Steelers future Hall of Famer Ben Roethlisberger three times but they also allowed 14 fourth quarter points after entering the final period up 16-6.

Buffalo had a bye this past weekend following their shocking 41-10 beat-down win over the rebuilding New York Jets two weeks ago as a touchdown road underdog no less. Veteran backup Matt Barkley passed for 232 yards with two touchdowns and no interceptions while running back LeSean McCoy rushed for 113 yards and two scores on 26 carries.

Prediction

While Buffalo smacked the hell out of New York the last time they took to the gridiron, that’s not happening in this Week 12 pairing. I like the Jacksonville Jaguars as a near lock selection in this one, thanks because of the return of running back Leonard Fournette.

The Jaguars put up almost four points per game more than the Bills offensively while also giving up four fewer points per game defensively and ranking ninth in points allowed (21.9 ppg).

The Jaguars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after rushing for more than 150 yards in their previous game while Buffalo has gone 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in the month of November. Jacksonville’s defense and Leonard Fournette will lead the way to victory in this matchup everyone!

NFL Week 12 Pick: Jacksonville 27 Buffalo 13

Pittsburgh (7-2-1) at Denver (4-6)

When: Sunday, November 25, 2018 at 4:25 PM ET Where: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, Colorado TV: CBS NFL Week 12 Odds: Pittsburgh -3.5 / Total: 47

Pittsburgh has won six straight games including their hard-fought, come-from-behind 20-16 win over Jacksonville this past weekend as a 4-point road favorite. Ben Roethlisberger passed for 314 yards with two TD passes while rushing for another to overcome three interceptions. Pittsburgh’s defense held Jags quarterback Blake Bortles to 104 passing yards and no touchdowns. While sacking the beleaguered signal-caller six times.

Denver pulled off a nice upset of the Los Angeles Chargers in their 23-22 win on Sunday as quarterback Case Keenum passed for 205 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions while running back Philip Lindsay rushed for 79 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries. The Broncos picked off L.A. quarterback Philip Rivers twice in the win to snap a modest two-game skid.

Prediction

The Broncos may have gotten an impressive win last weekend, but they’d better enjoy it throughout the week because they’re going down against Pittsburgh in this Week 12 matchup. The Steelers are averaging a stellar 29.9 points per game (fourth) and limiting the opposition to just 22.5 points per game defensively (10th). Conversely, Denver averages 22.8 points per game (19th) while giving up 23.5 points per contest defensively (13th).

Pittsburgh has gone 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win, a nearly perfect 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. On the flip side of the coin, the Broncos are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games against their AFC counterparts and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win. The Steelers are the easy pick to win and cash in as a surprisingly short 3.5-point road fave!

NFL Week 12 Pick: Pittsburgh 28 Denver 20