Okay NFL betting faithful, if you’re looking for some longshot value as far as teams that could win their respective divisions in 2019 despite not being favored to do so, then you’ve come to the right place! Thanks to this fun-filled look at eight live longshots that could potentially win their divisions this coming season, you’re going to have some great insight into just which underdogs could rise up to bite their higher favored division rivals.
Let’s get down to business.
2019 NFL Betting Longshots to Win Their Divisions
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +900
Sure the Skins went a modest 7-9 in 2018 to finish third in the NFC East after starting quarterback Alex Smith was lost for the season, but maybe they’re not as far behind the favored Philadelphia Eagles (+100) or Dallas Cowboys (+130) as everyone thinks. Washington finished in the middle of the pack defensively in almost every meaningful category and despite finishing an awful 29t in scoring, the Skins managed to stay in a lot of games they probably shouldn’t have been in. Besides, before Smith got hurt, Washington was off to an eye-opening 6-3 start through nine games.
Now, after adding veteran safety Landon Collins, veteran cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and re-signing the ageless Adrian Peterson, Washington’s roster looks a lot better heading into the new season. Oh, did I forget to mention that the Skins pulled off arguably the biggest steal of the draft when the Giants foolishly passed on former Ohio State star quarterback Dwayne Haskins and that they may have pulled off an even bigger steal by nabbing Stanford’s Bryce Love in the fourth round? If Philly or Dallas falters, Washington could be there to jump in as the NFC East division winner.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +300
I know the Los Angeles Rams have leap-frogged the once, perennially-powerful Seattle Seahawks, but after seeing Russell Wilson and company unfurl a solid 10-6 season to finish in second in the NFC West, three games behind the Rams, I’m thinking they could get back to the top of their division in 2019, even if no one is expecting that to happen. Seattle finished first in rushing a year ago and an encouraging eighth in scoring (26.8 ppg).
The Seahawks also finished 11th in points allowed (21.7 ppg) and while that doesn’t quite equal their dominating Legion of Boom era, I like the way the Seahawks have rebuilt their roster after losing many of their core players from their heyday era. Seattle added to their defense with their first two picks and three of their first four in the NFL Draft while re-signing K.J. Wright and making some other smart free agent additions. Besides, after seeing Jared Goff collapse against New England in Super Bowl 53, I’m thinking L.A. could take a step backwards this coming season.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +210
I know the Vikings got surpassed buy the completely revamped Chicago bears last season, but Minnesota looks like a team that could very well challenge for division superiority again in 2019 if you ask me. Yes. The Vikes finished a discouraging 19th in scoring despite the big free agent addition of quarterback Kirk Cousins, but they also finished fourth in total defense and ninth in points allowed (21.3 ppg). Minnesota upgraded their offensive line by drafting NC State center Garrett Bradbury with the 18th overall pick in the draft while also signing sturdy former Titans guard Josh Kline in free agency.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +550
The Panthers might have finished tied for second place with Atlanta a year ago, but there’s some good news brewing for Carolina as they get set for the upcoming 2019 season. For the last six seasons, the Panthers have alternated winning and losing campaigns and after their uninspiring 7-9 mark from a year ago, Cam Newton and company are ‘due’ to get back to being a winning organization.
The Panthers added to their offensive line in free agency and the draft while addressing issue at linebacker in the draft by nabbing talented Florida State star Brian Burns and later, Alabama linebacker Christian Miller in the fourth round.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +1400
You might not know it and you may not even believe it, but the Miami Dolphins finished second to New England in the AFC East last season with a 7-9 record to beat out Buffalo and the rebuilding New York Jets. Forget about Miami’s statistics on both sides of the ball last season, the Fins are headed in a new direction now with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen battling for the starter’s job and Miami hiring a new head coach and GM.
Miami signed veteran wide receiver Davante Parker in free agency along with former Patriots tight end Dwayne Allen and former Pats cornerback Eric Rowe. While the best guess is that no one and I do mean no one, is winning the AFC East over New England, I think Miami is going to stand just as good a chance as either higher favored Buffalo (+1100) or the New York Jets (+650).
Los Angeles Chargers
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +190
I don’t know if the Bolts necessarily qualify as alive long shot, seeing as how they’re right behind Kansas City (+160) to win the AFC West. Still, with Denver (+1200) and Oakland (+1200) in rebuilding modes, the Chargers are the only pick to beat out Kansas City. I love L.A.’s free agent additions of former Panthers linebacker Thomas Davis and former Browns quarterback Tyrod Taylor, plus their draft pick additions, which focused on defense as well.
In addition to that, if y you didn’t know before, now you do…the Bolts finished sixth in scoring a year ago (26.8 ppg) and eighth in points allowed (20.6 ppg). Ever the bridesmaids, Phillip Rivers and the Bolts could very well beat out Patrick Mahomes and a Chiefs team that will be without Kareem Hunt and likely, Tyreek Hill in 2019.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +260
So…let me see if I’ve got this right. Despite going a surprising 10-6 last season while turning over the keys to their franchise to elusive dual-threat quarterback Lamar Jackson, the Baltimore Ravens are now the No. 3 pick behind both, favored Cleveland (+125) and Pittsburgh (+190) to win the AFC North crown in 2019? No matter, Baltimore’s strange odds to finish behind two teams they beat out a year ago, makes them arguably the most attractive live longshot on the board in 2019.
Baltimore finished ninth in total offense, and a stupendous second in rushing while also ranking first in total defense a year ago and second in points allowed (17.9 ppg). Baltimore’s defense got even scarier thanks to the additions of veteran safety Earl Thomas, cornerback Tayvon Young and three-time special teams Pro Bowl cornerback Justin Bethel in free agency, not to mention their offensive additions of former Saints running back Mark Ingram and drafting of Oklahoma wide receiver Marquise Brown with the 25th overall pick.
- 2019 NFL Division Odds: +650
Despite changing head coaches prior to last season, the Tennessee Titans managed to record their third straight 9-7 record in their first year under current head coach Mike Vrabel. Now, after finishing two games behind AFC South division-winning Houston and one game behind surprising Indianapolis, the Titans will be looking to take the next step in their evolution and I believe it could happen in 2019 even if no one is expecting it. Play time is completely and utterly over for quarterback Marcus Mariota as he enters his fifth season after being selected second overall in 2015.
Tennessee ranked an awful 29t in passing and just 27t in scoring (19.4 ppg) and that’s just not going to cut it. The Titans did finish an outstanding third in points allowed (18.9 ppg) under the defensive-minded Vrabel and that’s the good news. The Titans made some nice free agent additions on both sides of the ball by adding former Dolphins defensive end Cameron Wake and former Rams guard Roger Saffold. If the Texans and Colts falter just a tad, Tennessee looks like they’ll be there to pick up the pieces in a hurry and that makes them a decent long shot pick!