The New England Patriots proved why they’re the best NFL franchise of all time on Feb. 3 when they dominated the L.A. Rams for an easy 13-3 win in Super Bowl 53. Although forgettable by any football standards, the game provided a boon to savvy bettors.Printable NFL 2019 Playoffs and Super Bowl 53 Bracket.
2019 Super Bowl 53 Betting Odds Recap
- When: Sunday, February 3, 2019
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
- Super Bowl LIII Odds: New England Patriots -2.0 (Over/Under at 56 points)
Reasons the Patriots Won
Sean McVay failed on the big stage
Say what you want about Bill Belichick’s awesome defense, but Sean McVay didn’t use the best running back in football at all. Todd Gurley pretty much sat on the sidelines while C.J. Anderson carried the load in the first half.
Gurley only got 3 carries in that first half. What’s worse? TG saw only 2 targets and caught 1 pass for -1 yards. Sure, he might have still suffered from the knee injury that kept him out of the last two regular season games, but…then wouldn’t McVay have come up with a game plan that worked?
Instead, Jared Goff threw to Brandin Cooks 13 times. Cooks caught 8 of those passes. It was horrible. Goff threw 38 times. Your quarterback should never throw that many passes in a game where the first half ended 3-0.
Patriots rushed the football
The key heading into Super Bowl 53 was which team could establish the run first. New England did that immediately by handing the ball off to both Sony Michel and Rex Burkhead. At the end of the night, New England had rushed for 154 yards from 32 carries.
The Rams only rushed for 62 yards. The worst part is that Los Angeles only rushed the ball 18 times. This with a team that includes both Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson.
Like his coach, Goff imploded on the big stage
Signs appeared in the second half of the season that implied Jared Goff might not be ready for the big stage. Oh, he wasn’t. Not even close. Goff fluttered passes, failed to make the hot read, and just looked like the proverbial deer in the headlights.
He only completed 18 of those 38 passes. Again, you can say Belichick’s defense dominated and it did, but Goff and McVay didn’t have it on Sunday.
Rams wasted an excellent defensive performance
The Rams wasted one of the best overall defensive performances, and individual defensive performances, in Super Bowl history. Sure, the Patriots rushed for 154 yards and Tom Brady threw for 260 yards, but the Rams kept Brady from throwing a TD pass.
Not only that, Wade Phillips and his defense held Terrific Tom and the Pats to 3 points in the first half. When you average 32 points per game, you’d think holding your opponent to 3 points in the first half and 13 points in total would lead to a massive victory, a possible 20 point win. Nope.
But, the Rams also had the single most impressive player on the field on Sunday. Linebacker Cory Littleton recorded 6 solo tackles, 4 assisted tackles, and picked off Brady. If the Rams had won, he’d have easily taken the NFL MVP. He was all over the field.
Super Bowl 53 Betting Recap: Littleton Obvious Prop, Edelman Takes MVP, Early Money was Smart Money on both ATS and the Over/Under Total
MyBookie Offers Littleton Prop Gift
The MyBookie odds makers handed us a serious prop gift before Super Bowl 53 when they set the over/under on Cory Little tackles and assists at 8. Littleton had recorded 11 total tackles versus the Saints in the NFC Championship.
Wade Phillips’ entire strategy, one that worked, centered around Littleton. Hopefully, some of us (I didn’t!), made some money on over 8.
Super Bowl MVP Pays
Edelman offered +2000 odds to win Super Bowl MVP. Those had him should be congratulated because let’s be honest, if anybody figured to win SB MVP it was Tom Brady. If not Brady, then, maybe, Sony Michel who was brilliant during the playoffs.
But, Julian took home the MVP trophy after catching 10-of-12 targets for 141 yards.
Early Money Went to Patriots, Mostly Stayed Behind Patriots
The early money went to the Patriots. When odds first came out, the Rams were -1 favorites. L.A. was the preseason favorite to win Super Bowl 53. They had just beaten the Saints in New Orleans. Why wouldn’t they be favored to beat New England?
Guess how long it took the Rams to go from -1 favorites to +2.5 dogs? Less than 60 minutes. By the following morning, MyBookie was offering the Patriots at -2.5, -120 and the Rams at +2.5, +100.
Overnight, NFL bettors had dumped on New England. Although late money did come in on Los Angeles pushing the Pats down to -2 favorites, the early money proved the smartest.
Early money on total also proves smartest
The early money pounded under the 58.5 total, sending it careening all the way to 56. At 56, you’d think some bettors might have gone the other way. They did briefly, driving the total back up half a point to 56.5, but right before kick off under bettors pushed their wagers to send the total back down to 56 and then finally to 55.5. The 13-3 score made both Patriots backers and under backers look like geniuses. It’s also a case of how following the money can lead to profit.
Just so you know, Super Bowl 54 odds are already out. The Patriots are favored at +650 while the Rams offer second choice odds of +700, followed by Kansas City at +800, the Chargers at +900, and the Saints at +1000.