2019 NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Picks.

2019 NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Picks

Written by on September 30, 2019

With the NFL season now a month old, we are down to just 3 teams sitting with a perfect record. The Patriots and Chiefs are at 4-0, while the 49ers, who had a bye in Week 4, are sitting at 3-0. This week will end of Monday night, with a pair of winless teams, the Cincinnati Bengals and the Pittsburgh Steelers, looking to break their goose egg. While we wait for that game to be decided, we can start to look ahead to NFL Week 5 and think about the picks that we might decide to play.

I am going to take a look at dome good ATS picks for Week 5 of the NFL season, but keep in mind that these NFL spreads might change as the week progresses.

2019 NFL Week 5 ATS Betting Picks

Atlanta Falcons at Houston Texans (-5)

Make no mistake about it, the Atlanta Falcons are in trouble after losing to the Titans in Week 4 to fall to 1-3 on the season. To make matters worse, they are on the road this weekend against a non-conference foe, which is when things tend to get dramatically worse for Atlanta.

They are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, but that stat pales in comparison to their 0-13 ATS run against teams from the AFC. The Texans are not that much better when you look at their ATS record, but it is that combination of awful stats for the Falcons that has me leaning the way of Houston this coming weekend.

NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
  • Texans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games played in week 5
  • Texans are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games played on a Sunday

New York Jets (+14) at Philadelphia Eagles

This is a point spread that you should be paying attention to as the week progresses, specifically because it looks as though Sam Darnold may be back in the fold for the Jets after sitting out with a bout of mono. You look at the tends with these two ATS and you see that the Eagles have totally dominated this series.

Given the numbers, I was very much on the fence about adding this one to the list, but it’s a shot worth taking right now, especially of Darnold does start. If he is out and the Jets are forced to roll with their 3rd string QB, perhaps revisit this one.

NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Jets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Philadelphia
  • Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the AFC East division
  • Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played in week 5

New England Patriots (-15) at Washington Redskins

We mentioned earlier that the Patriots were one of only 3 teams to be sitting with a perfect record, but that was almost very different, as they struggled to hang on versus the Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady was not at his best on Sunday, which usually means that we can expect a bounce back game from the GOAT.

The Pats are huge favorites for NFL Week 5 against the Redskins.

The Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, while also going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with teams from the NFC. They are also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5 games, all of which adds up to the champions covering against a weak Redskins team.

NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games
  • Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC conference
  • Redskins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Redskins are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Sunday

Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs (-10)

The Chiefs are another of the unbeaten teams, but like the Patriots, they were made to work very hard in Week 4, outlasting the Lions for a 34-30 win. This was the first time this season that the Chiefs failed to cover the spread after comfortably covering in each of the opening 3 weeks.

The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus conference foes, although they are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home meetings with Indianapolis, although it should be noted that most of those came when Andrew Luck was still playing. I like the Chiefs to bounce back in a big way this week.

NFL Week 5 Betting Trends

  • Colts are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against Kansas City
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the AFC conference

Rest of the Week 5 Schedule

  • Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks
  • Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals
  • Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans
  • Tampa Bay Buccanneers vs New Orleans Saints
  • Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants
  • Chicago Bears vs Oakland Raiders
  • Jacksonville Jaguars vs Carolina Panthers
  • Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers
  • Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys
  • Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers
 

More Week 5 NFL Betting News

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