While it’s probably a lock – again – that the New England Patriots will win their eighth straight AFC East division title, predicting the number of wins for the Pats – and every other AFC East Super Bowl hopeful – will be much more fun-filled task. With NFL bettors everywhere already turning their eyes toward the 2016 regular season, the expert NFL odds analysis you’re about to get on each AFC East team’s 2016 win total odds could help you cash in long before the 2016 campaign ever gets under way. With that aid, let’s get started.
Whose schedules look best in the all-important AFC East?
— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) April 15, 2016
2016 AFC East Schedule Total Wins Betting Predictions
New England Patriots – 10.5 wins
The Patriots went 12-4 last season and they should be able to reach the 11-win mark in 2016, mostly because they’ll get four division win at the very least. It’s quite possible the Pats could lose at Arizona in Week 1 before coming home to beat Miami, Houston and Buffalo, which would put them at 3-1 after four games.
The Pats then win at Cleveland and at home against Cincinnati before losing at Pittsburgh and Buffalo, which puts them at 5-3 after eight games. The Pats then get the big win at home against Seattle before hitting the road to beat San Francisco as well. Now sitting at 7-3 after 10 games, New England loses at the New York Jets before pounding the L.A. Rams at home, followed by another home win over Baltimore.
Now, 9-4, New England hits the road to beat Denver before getting a home win against the Jets and a road win at Miami to finish 12-4.
The Pick: New England Patriots 12 Wins/Over
New York Jets – 8 Wins
The Jets had a fantastic first season in posting a solid 10-6 record under head coach Todd Bowles and I can see them getting better under arguably the best defensive mind in the game today. The bad news is that New York had one of the oldest rosters in the league last season and really don’t have a long-term plan at quarterback. Incredibly, I can easily see the Jets opening the 2016 season with six straight losses against the Bengals, at Buffalo, at Kansas City at home against Seattle at Pittsburgh and at Arizona.
I guess it’s possible that New York could beat Baltimore at home, but I’m going to say it’s not likely, which would drop them to 0-7. The wins start coming as New York wins at Cleveland (I think) and at Miami (they’ll be desperate) before coming home to beat the Rams. A pair of home losses against the Patriots and Colts looms, but the Jets will win their next two games at San Francisco and at home against Miami. New York closes out its 2016 campaign with a loss at New England and a win at home against Buffalo. It’s going to be a fairly close call, but I’ve got the Jets playing just under their eight-win O/U Total.
The Pick: New York Jets 6 Wins/Under
Buffalo Bills – 8 Wins
The Bills underachieved in going 8-8 in 2015 like almost every Rex Ryan-led team does and head into the 2016 campaign looking for instant improvements. Unfortunately, I don’t see it happening. I see Buffalo losing road games at Baltimore, New England, Seattle, Cincinnati and the New York Jets. I also believe Buffalo also loses home dates against Arizona, New England and Pittsburgh. The Bills look mediocre and their 8-8 record in 2016 will confirm it.
The Pick: Buffalo Bills 8 Wins/Push
Miami Dolphins – 7 Wins
Maybe it’s me, but I believe a virtually ancient Dan Marino could still play quarterback better than Miami’s Ryan Tannehill, but hey, that’s just me. Anywho…the Dolphins went 6-10 under former head coach Joe Philbin and interim head coach Dan Campbell, but hired Bears offensive coordinator Adam Gase to both, fix Tannehill – and the Dolphins overall.
Too bad Gase won’t be able to stop the Fins from losing at Seattle, New England, Cincinnati, Baltimore, Buffalo and the New York Jets. Nor will he be able to help his perennially underachieving franchise from falling at home against Pittsburgh or New England. Still, by my calculations, Miami wins eight games in 2016, mostly because they have a favorable home schedule.
The Pick: Miami Dolphins 8 Wins/Over