Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 8 Free Picks

Posted by Tony Newborn on Friday,October 24, 2014 11:28, EST in

Over the first three weeks of the season we were talking about how the Cincinnati Bengals were there the best team in the AFC, since then, they haven’t won a game and will face the Baltimore Ravens this Sunday at 1 PM ET, in a crucial battle for the AFC North top position at Paul Brown Stadium.

Week 8 Matchup: Baltimore Ravens (5-2) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (3-2-1)
TV Schedule: Sunday, Oct. 26, 1:00 p.m. ET, CBS
Stadium: Paul Brown Stadium
Betting
Line:
Baltimore -1
Money Line: Ravens -115/Bengals -105
Total: 45.5

After coming off a bye week, the Bengals were obliterated by the New England Patriots, tied at home against the Carolina Panthers and last week were shut down by the Indianapolis Colts 27-0.

The problem? No WR AJ Green who has missed the last two games with turf toe. Defenses are not being stretched with the deep threat and and can load up the box to stop the Bengals run, which ranks 16th best in the NFL, averaging 111.5 yards per game.

The Bengals have already beaten the Ravens in Baltimore 23-16 in week one, but don’t expect th

The Ravens have won two games in a row and five of their last six, including a 26-7 victory over the Atlanta Falcons last weekend. Helping Baltimore win has been their ability to run the ball consistently, they have reached 100+ rushing yards mark in every win, and 150+ rushing yards in victories over Cleveland, Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay.

Their defense has been outstanding also allowing the fewest points in the entire NFL with 14.9.

The Bengals opened as 1.5 points favorites and now the line has moved to just one. The game total is currently at 45.5. Despite the recent success of the Bengals at home against the spread where they have covered 11 of the past 12 game, I don’t see a good matchup for them this Sunday.

Cincinnati is 11-1-1 SU in its last 13 games at home and Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in their last five visits to Paul Brown Stadium, but without AJ Green healthy, QB Andy Dalton has been pathetic throwing 1375 yards 6 TDs and 3 INTs this season, posting a 89.7 passer rating.

The betting trends will back up the Bengals as they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games, but 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

The Ravens are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five vs. AFC North. I still like what Baltimore is doing on defense, and I hate what the Bengals have become over the last few weeks.

The Bengals need this win to keep any post season dreams alive, but they can’t win without A.J. Green.