Best Value NFL Week 4 Betting Odds

Posted by Jordan Walterss on Wednesday,August 3, 2016 9:38, EST in

The fourth week of the 2016 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, Sept. 29 when the Miami Dolphins visit the Cincinnati Bengals. It concludes on Monday, Oct. 3, when the New York Giants visit the Minnesota Vikings. Here are two early picks on NFL lines. The Packers and Eagles are on their bye week.

Let’s Take a Closer Look at the Best Value NFL Week 4 Betting Odds

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars (+3 in NFL betting)

I actually think the Jaguars will be pretty good this season and might win the AFC South. So if this game were in Florida in the heat and humidity then I’d probably take them. But Jacksonville is the “home” team at Wembley Stadium in London. The Jags lose one home game every year these days to play in London and many believe the franchise will eventually move across the pond.

It will be the Colts’ first game in London and the NFL’s 15th International Series contest since games began being played over there in 2007. The marketability of the Colts in Europe is clear with star QB Andrew Luck spending a large chunk of his childhood across the pond.

“My father was working for NFL Europe so my family has a strong affinity for American Football on this continent and in this country,” Luck said on a recent trip to London. “I love to come back to (Europe) at least once a year during the offseason to catch up with old families. I still have a bunch of family friends, a bunch of family members that live in Germany, so I try to connect with them.”

The Colts have owned this series, although they lost 51-16 in Jacksonville last year. Blake Bortles threw for three touchdowns and ran for a score on the team’s final play, and the Jaguars ended the Colts’ 16-game winning streak in the AFC South. That was a record inside any one division.

Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots (-4.5 on NFL odds)

This line was significantly higher until Tom Brady’s four-game suspension was finalized. So this would be the final game he would miss in 2016 outside of injury or somehow another suspension. Buffalo never beats the Patriots with Brady but I think the Bills have a good shot here even though running back Karlos Williams will serve the final game of his four-game suspension. The Bills hoped Williams would reprise his role as a smash-mouth accompaniment to LeSean McCoy. As a rookie, Williams earned 517 yards on just 93 carries (5.6 yard per tote average) and seven rushing touchdowns. Among all players with 90-plus carries last season, Williams had the second-highest yards per rush in the NFL in 2015.

Buffalo played well at New England last year, only losing 20-13. Brady completed 20 of 39 passes for 277 yards and a TD. Tyrod Taylor was 20-for- 36 passing for 233 yards for the Bills,, who lost to Brady for the 25th time in 28 games. The game ended on a refereeing blunder, with Sammy Watkins crawling out of bounds untouched near midfield but the official inexplicably signaling for the clock to run.

Jimmy Garoppolo will be starting under center for the Patriots. In his regular-season career, he’s 20-for- 31 passing (64.5 percent), 188 yards (6.7 per attempt), 1 TD, 0 interceptions. Last year, Brady was supposed to miss a Week 2 game against the Bills in Orchard Park. Instead, he found a legal loophole to have the suspension lifted while he took the case to court, and he threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns in a 40-32 Patriots win. No Brady this time so I’ll go Buffalo on NFL odds.