NFL Betting Analysis for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns in Week 4.

NFL Betting Analysis for Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns in Week 4

Written by on September 28, 2017

Some divisions in the NFL are stronger than others, and there are a few where we are basically looking at a 2-horse race for the division crown and a guaranteed playoff spot. We are only 3 weeks into the 2017 season, but the NFL betting odds already clearly show that the AFC North is viewed as one of those divisions doomed to be between two teams. The Steelers and Ravens will go head to head this Sunday, vying for top spot, but there is another divisional game on tap that could set the tone for the rest of the season. The Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns are coming into Week 4 of the season with 0-3 records, and both will be looking to break their ducks when they go at it in Cleveland this Sunday. The Bengals come in as 3-point odds favorites, with the O/U set at 41 ½ points. There is already talk that Marvin Lewis’ time at the Bengals is running out, and a loss to the Browns may well serve as the final nail in the coffin. Cleveland is rebuilding, and are therefore being cut a little slack, but they need to get in the habit of winning if anything is to change there.

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns Game Info & NFL Betting Analysis

When: Sunday, October 1 at 1 PM EST Where: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland TV: CBS Radio: 102.7 FM (Cincinnati) / 92.3 FM (Cleveland) Live Stream: NFL Live NFL Betting Odds: Cincinnati Bengals -3 (Over & Under at 41 points)

Detroit at Minnesota NFL Odds & Week 4 Game Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 18°C/65°F
  • Humidity: 44%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 0%
  • Wind: 8 mph ESE
  • Stadium Type: Open

Recent Head to Head (Last 10 Games)

  • Record: Cincinnati leads 7-3
  • Score: Cincinnati 26 / Cleveland 16.20
  • Rush Yards: Cincinnati 143.5 / Cleveland 114
  • Pass Attempts: Cincinnati 31.50 / Cleveland 33.50
  • Completion Percentage: Cincinnati 61.90 / Cleveland 57.61
  • Passing Yards: Cincinnati 204.70 / Cleveland 186
  • Total Yards: Cincinnati 348.2 / Cleveland 300
  • Turnovers: Cincinnati 1.50 / Cleveland 1.40

Why bet on the Cincinnati Bengals?

The Bengals must still be wondering why they are winless this year after losing a big lead on the road in Green Bay in Week 3. It was the best performance of the season from the Bengals, but it may also be the one that highlighted where their major issue lies. Cincinnati has struggled offensively through the first 3 weeks, managing a mere 33 points, and it was those offensive struggles that prevented them from putting away a Packers team that they had on the canvas. This is a game that the Bengals really need to win if they have any hope of turning things around this season. Either the Steelers or Ravens are going to have 3 wins by the end of the day on Sunday, and being 0-4 in that division means it’s time to start thinking about next season. Cincinnati is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings with Cleveland, and are 4-2 against them on the road in their last 6 trips there. Overall, they have won 5 straight versus the Browns, and covered in each of those wins.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 11
  • Total Yards: 272.34
  • Rush Yards: 89.67
  • Passing Yards: 182.67

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 20
  • Total Yards: 292.67
  • Rush Yards: 129.67
  • Passing Yards: 163

Why bet on the Cleveland Browns?

Scoring has not been a huge problem for the Cleveland Browns this season, as they have put up 56 points through their first 3 games. The problem here is that they have surrendered 76 points, and we all know how tough it is to be constantly playing from behind in this league. The Browns have been competitive in 2 of their 3 games this season, pushing the Steelers to the brink in Week 1, and coming close to getting a win last week in a 31-28 loss to the Indianapolis Colts. The Browns are not the NFL Betting favorites against the Bengals. If Cleveland is to get back to some level of respectability, they need to find a way to start getting wins in those close games. The Browns now only have a single win in their last 22 outings and are also just 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games. The last 5 games that Cleveland have played at home have gone UNDER, as have 5 of the last 6 meetings between the Bengals and Browns.

Team statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 18.67
  • Total Yards: 323
  • Rush Yards: 87
  • Passing Yards: 236

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 25.33
  • Total Yards: 320.67
  • Rush Yards: 87.67
  • Passing Yards: 233

NFL Betting Trends for Week 4

  • Bengals are 7-12-2 ATS in their last 21 games
  • Bengals are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati’s last 7 games
  • Browns are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
  • Browns are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 87
  • First Meeting: October 11th, 1970. Cleveland Municipal Stadium. Cleveland, Ohio
  • Last Meeting: September 21st, 2014. Edward Jones
  • All-Time Series:December 11th, 2016. FirstEnergy Stadium. Cleveland, Ohio
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Cleveland 34-0 (1987)
  • Longest Win Streak: Cleveland 7 (1992-1995)
  • Current Win Streak: Dallas 3 (2011-2014)

Expert NFL Betting Pick and Final Score Prediction

These two teams may surprise us all by getting into a shootout on Sunday afternoon, but I think it’s more likely that we are going to see a tight game with the offense being scarce. I just have a feeling that the Browns are going to pull this one out. Score: Cincinnati Bengals 17 – Cleveland Browns 20