Online NFL Betting Analysis Highlights Sure Bets For Week 1

Posted by Eric Williams on Friday,September 9, 2016 7:09, EST in

If you’re looking for some Week 1 NFL matchups that have a high probability of being near lock matchups, then look no further! The trio of Week 1 expert picks that you’re about to get certainly fits the bill!

Online NFL Betting Analysis Highlights Sure Bets For Week 1

 

 

Chicago Bears at Houston Texans

What: Sunday, September 11, 2016; 1:00 PM ET
When: NRG Stadium
NFL Odds: Chicago Bears +5.5 / Over/Under: 44

Analysis: This Week 1 matchup is a virtual lock alert NFL betting enthusiasts. There’s not a whole lot of thinking that needs to go into making this pick with the Houston Texans simply being the better team in all three phases of the game. I fully expect the Texans’ voracious defense to force Jay Cutler into at least one costly turnover while Houston’s new-look offense puts just enough points on the board against Chicago’s underwhelming defense to cover the spread.

I know the Bears are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games, but Jay Cutler and company are also just 1-4 ATS in their last five games and 0-4 ATS in their last four games in the month of September. Conversely, the Texans have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 4-2 TS in their last six home dates. The Texans will win and easily cash in!

My Pick: Houston 27 Chicago 20

Green Bay Packers (11-7) at Jacksonville Jaguars (5-11)

When: Sunday, September 11, 2016 at 1:00 pm
Where: EverBank Field
NFL Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 / Over/Under: 48

Analysis: I know the Packers are on the road in this regular season opener, but I’m still a bit surprised that the spread is only 4.5 points. Still, I don’t think this is a trap game and believe the Packers are going to win and cover the NFL betting line with room to spare.

Green Bay has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Conversely, the Jaguars are just 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Yes, I know the Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings against Jacksonville, but they’re getting the easy touchdown win in this one!

My Pick: Green Bay 27 Jacksonville 21

 

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Minnesota at Tennessee

When: September 11, 2016, 01:00 PM EY
Where: Nissan Stadium
NFL Odds: Minnesota -3 / Total: 42.5

Analysis: Minnesota (11-6 SU, 14-3 ATS) went a perfect 4-0 in the preseason but lost Teddy Bridgewater for the entire 2016 regular season when he tore his ACL during non-contract drills a week ago. Still, with veteran Sam Bradford set to take over, the Vikings still have high payoff hopes.

Minnesota ranked 16th in scoring in 2015 (22.8 ppg) last season and will lean heavily on veteran running back Adrian Peterson after losing Bridgewater. The ageless Peterson rushed for 1,485 yards and 11 touchdowns last season. Minnesota added gifted wide receiver Laquon Treadwell to help improve their passing attack. The Vikings ranked a stellar fifth in points allowed (18.9 ppg) and added talented cornerback Mackensie Alexander to give their secondary even more depth.

I really like the way Tennessee looked during the preseason, but there’s no way I can bring myself to back the Titans, even with Teddy Bridgewater out for Minnesota. Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games and a blistering 9-4 SU in its last 13 games while Tennessee has gone 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games and just 3-22 SU in its last 25 games. The Vikings will win and narrowly cover the NFL betting line.

My Pick: Minnesota 21 Tennessee 17