Bills vs Dolphins NFL Week 13 Odds & Betting Analysis

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Week 13 Odds & Betting Analysis

Written by on November 27, 2018

Ryan Tannehill and the Miami Dolphins will be in all-out desperation mode when they host the ‘streaking’ Buffalo Bills in what now amounts to a huge week 13 matchup that could either crush or boost their faint playoff hopes. Now, let’s find out if the Fins are a good pick to win and cash in or if Buffalo can cover the chalk and extend their suddenly winning ways.

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Week 13 Odds & Betting Analysis

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 29°C/85°F
  • Humidity: 63%
  • Precipitation: 13%
  • Wind: 9 mph SSE
  • Cloud Cover: 31%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet on Buffalo?

Why should you bet on Buffalo in this huge Week 13 divisional showdown? Well, there are a bunch of great reasons. First, the Bills are playing their best football of the season in winning two straight including their hard-fought 24-21 win over Jacksonville last weekend. Another good reason to back the Bills is because they know the Dolphins well and they beat them 22-16 the last time they met in Miami. Last but not least, Buffalo has a solid defense that is ranked 17th in points allowed (24.7 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 14.64
  • Total Yards: 273.91
  • Pass Yards: 159.91
  • Rush Yards: 114
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 24.73
  • Total Yards: 305
  • Pass Yards: 193.73
  • Rush Yards: 111.27

Why Bet On Miami?

Are the Dolphins a safe bet for NFL Week 13?

Why should you bet on Miami in this contest? Because the dolphins are completely and utterly desperate. The Dolphins have dropped four of five and their playoff hopes are teetering right now, so motivation shouldn’t be a problem. Another good reason to back the Dolphins is that they have the higher scoring offense as they put up almost six full points per game more than the Bills. Another good reasons to back Miami is because the Bills have been pitiful on defense in allowing 25.7 points per game to rank 23rd in points allowed (25.7 ppg).

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 20.27
  • Total Yards: 313.64
  • Pass Yards: 207.09
  • Rush Yards: 106.55
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 25.73
  • Total Yards: 398
  • Pass Yards: 258.18
  • Rush Yards: 139.82

Bills vs Dolphins NFL Week 13 Betting Trends

 
  • Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games when playing Miami
  • Buffalo is 2-4 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 9 games
  • Miami is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games at home
  • Miami is 4-1 SU in the last 5 games at home
  • The total went OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games at home

Expert Analysis and Prediction for Bills vs Dolphins

Buffalo might be playing their best football of the season, but make no mistake abut it, the Bills are completely and utterly mediocre in almost every way and that’s just the kind of team the Dolphins need to face in order to get a win these days. Miami has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games while Buffalo has gone 0-6 ATS in their last six road games against a team with a losing home record. With the favorite in this series going 10-4 ATS in the last 11 meetings, I say back the desperate Dolphins to win to keep their faint playoff hopes alive. NFL Week 13 Pick: Miami 27 Buffalo 21