Buffalo Bills 2019 NFL Season Betting Guide

Buffalo Bills 2019 NFL Season Betting Guide

Written by on June 5, 2019

After recording a surprising 9-7 mark in 2017 to reach the playoffs in head coach Sean McDermott’s first season at the helm, the Buffalo Bills took a sizable step backwards last season in winning just a half-dozen games. Nevertheless, while the Bills never came close to making consecutive playoff appearances for the first time in almost two decades, there’s a positive feeling surrounding the franchise after Buffalo seemingly found their franchise quarterback of the future in 2018 first round draft pick Josh Allen.

While the strong-armed former Wyoming signal-caller still has plenty of room for growth and improvement, again, the Bills feel like they’re set at the game’s most important position and they’ve made a bunch of offseason additions to help their young quarterback maximize his clearly vast potential.

Whether the Bills sink or swim in the upcoming 2019 NFL regular season remains to be seen, but there are a bunch of things that football bettors everywhere need to know about the Bills before the start of the quickly approaching new campaign.

Let’s get down to business.

Buffalo Bills 2019 NFL Season Betting Guide

Betting Statistics

  • ATS: 6-10 (W-L) / 7-9-0 (ATS) / 3-5-0 (Home) / 4-4-0 (Away) / 0-2-0 (Grass) / 7-7-0 (Turf)
  • O/U: 7-9 (W-L) / 5-3-0 (Home) / 2-6-0 (Away) / 0-2-0 (Grass) / 7-7-0 (Turf) / 40.2 (Total)

As you can see, not only did the Bills go 6-10 in their first season under Josh Allen, but Buffalo recorded a decent 7-9 ATS mark a year ago by covering the chalk four times on the road and three times at home. The Bills played Under the O/U total nine times, including a whopping six times on the road.

Offense

  • Total Yards: 298.6 / Rank 30
  • Passing Yards: 174.6 / Rank 31
  • Rushing Yards: 124 /Rank 9
  • Points Scored: 16.8 / Rank 30
  • Field Goal %: 78.6 / Rank 26

Josh Allen played in a dozen games and made 11 starts, with Buffalo going 5-6 in those starts. Unfortunately, the Bills ranked a dismal 30th in total defense, 31st in passing and an uninspiring 30th in scoring (16.8 ppg) although they did finish an encouraging ninth in rushing, although they were led by their rookie quarterback’s 631 yards ion the ground.

To address their needs, the Bills signed veteran wide receivers John Brown (Baltimore) and Cole Beasley (Dallas) in free agency while also signing former Redskins tackle Ty Nsekhe, former Bengals tight end Tyler Kroft, former Chiefs center Mitch Morse and ageless running back Frank Gore (Miami). Buffalo also drafted Oklahoma tackle Cody Ford in the second round and Florida Atlantic running back Devin Singletary and Ole Miss tight end Dawson Knox =, both in the third round.

Defense

  • Total Yards: 294.1 / Rank 2
  • Passing Yards: 179.2 / Rank 1
  • Rushing Yards: 114.9 /Rank 16
  • Points Allowed: 23.4 / Rank 18
  • Field Goal %: 88.9 / Rank 23

Defensively, the Bills finished a stellar second in total defense and first against the pass, but it should be know that the Bills struggled to stop the run (16th) and keep their opponents out of the end zone where they finished 18th in points allowed (23.4 ppg). To address their needs on the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo signed former Houston cornerback Kevin Johnson in free agency and drafted Houston Cougars defensive tackle Ed Oliver with the ninth overall pick in the draft.

Team Leaders

  • Touchdowns: Josh Allen (10)
  • Rushing: Josh Allen (631)
  • Passing: Josh Allen (2074)
  • Receiving: Zay Jones (652)
  • Sacks: Jerry Hughes (70)
  • Interceptions:  Jordan Poyer (4)

Despite his rookie status a year ago, Josh Allen led the Bills in touchdowns scored and both, rushing and passing yards. Second-year wide receiver Zay Jones led the team in receiving yards while defensive end Jerry Hughes led the team in sacks in his ninth season and cornerback Jordan Poyer led the team with four interceptions one year after nabbing five in 2017.

Outlook

While the Bills are excited about the future and the potential of Josh Allen, I think it should be noted that the now, 23-year-old signal-caller completed just 52.8 percent of his passes while throwing a modest 10 TD passes against 12 interceptions and those are numbers that just don’t suggest a bunch of upside in the near or long-term future. With that said, I’m also not very fond of head coach Sean McDermott and I believe the outstanding former defensive coordinator is overmatched as a head coach.

In addition to their six contests against their AFC East division rivals, the Bills take on the AFC North in 2019 and that means they’ll be facing a trio of playoff hopefuls (Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cleveland), not to mention four dates against the NFC East and the two teams that reached the postseason out of that division a year ago (Dallas, Philadelphia). I know the Bills had a positive offseason, but I believe they’re looking at a nearly identical win total from a year ago, even though I am expecting Josh Allen to be a bit better than he was as a fresh-faced rookie last season.