Buffalo Bills 2017 NFL Win/Loss Prediction and Expert Picks

Posted by Peter Brennan on Friday,July 7, 2017 2:45, EDT in

It’s out with the old and in with the new for the Buffalo Bills as they get set for the upcoming 2017 season. You see, with the Bills firing former head coach Rex Ryan and passing on assistant Anthony Lynn in favor of former Carolina Panthers defensive coordinator Sean McDermott, the Bills are clearly heading in a new direction.

Find the latest NFL win total predictions here.

Buffalo went 7-8 a year ago under Ryan while dropping the final game of the season under the interim Anthony Lynn. The Bills led the league in rushing as LeSean McCoy has a Pro Bowl campaign by rushing for 1,267 yards and 14 touchdowns. Unfortunately, the Bills also ranked a discouraging 30th in passing, despite the fact that Tyrod Taylor had a solid season by completing 61.7 percent of his passes with 17 TD passes and just six interceptions in 15 games.

In addition to their passing woes last season, the Bills also struggled mightily to stop the run, finishing 20th in run defense (133.1 ypg). Buffalo added cornerback Tre’Davious White with the 27th pick in the NFL Draft and wide receiver Zay Jones with the 37th overall pick, although they had a lackluster free agency signing period. The Bills haven’t reached the playoffs since 1999, but McDermott is on record as saying his team is a “playoff-caliber” squad heading into 2017.

Thus, if you’d like to make a season-long wager on Buffalo’s 2017 regular season win total odds and you need to know how the Bills are going to perform this coming campaign; therefore, let’s find out right now as I offer up my expert analysis and predictions on each and every game on Buffalo’s 2017 schedule.

Here’s A Closer Look At The Buffalo Bills 2017 NFL Win/Loss Prediction and Expert Picks

 

Buffalo Bills Regular Season Wins (2017 NFL Season)
O 6½ +125
U 6½ -105

Buffalo Bills Win Total Odds 6.0

Week 1

Jets at Bills (-6)

After getting swept by the lowly Jets last season, the Buffalo Bills will kick off their 2017 regular season with an emphatic win against their longtime AFC East division rivals.

Week 2

Bills at Panthers (-3.5)

I’m expecting Carolina to rebound after a rough 2016 season that saw the Panthers miss the playoffs. Cam Newton leads Carolina to the home win and ATS cover.

Week 3

Broncos at Bills (-1)

Denver’s defense will rule the day in this Week 3 AFC clash and the Broncos will get just enough offense to get the road win at Buffalo’s expense.

Week 4

Bills at Falcons (-7.5)

You can expect Atlanta’s Matt Ryan to light up Buffalo’s uninspiring secondary to lead the offensively explosive Falcons to the high-scoring home win in Week 4.

Week 5

Bills at Bengals (-3.5)

After having their five-year run of reaching the playoffs unceremoniously snapped last season, I’m expecting Andy Dalton and the Cincinnati Bengals to bounce back nicely in 2017 even if they aren’t going to be Super Bowl contenders. Cincy gets the home win by a field goal.

Week 6

BYE

Week 7

Buccaneers at Bills (-1.5)

After a Week 6 bye and some time to reflect on their poor start, I like the Bills to get the home win over Tampa Bay, mostly out of sheer desperation.

Week 8

Raiders (-1.5) at Bills

Simply put, you should expect Derek Carr and the Oakland Raiders to put at least 30 points on the board to get the road win, although I don’t believe the Bills are going down without a fight. I’m thinking 35-27 Oakland sounds about right.

Week 9

Bills (-1.5) at Jets

Sheer desperation, combined with the fact that the Jets have all sorts of problems will help the Bills to get the road win and regular season sweep over a Jets team whose starting quarterback remains a mystery.

Week 10

Saints at Bills (-2)

The Bills will be playing at home in Week 10 but it won’t matter as Drew Brees torches Buffalo’s secondary, much like I expect Matt Ryan and Derek Carr to in Weeks 4 and 8 respectively. New Orleans wins in a shootout.

Week 11

Bills at Chargers (-2)

Things will continue to go wrong for Buffalo Bills in Week 11 as their secondary gets lit up once again, this time by Philip Rivers. Ironically, the Bills will fall in this contest to a Chargers team that thought Anthony Lynn was good enough to become a head coach – following his tenure and interim head coaching stint with Buffalo.

Kansas City’s offense might be as fun as watching paint dry against Buffalo Bills, but the Chiefs’ defense is as elite as it gets.

Week 12

Bills at Chiefs (-6)

Kansas City’s offense might be as fun as watching paint dry, but the Chiefs’ defense is as elite as it gets. Kansas City will get the narrow and uneventful home win as Alex Smith doesn’t commit a turnover and Kansas City’s defense limits Tyrod Taylor and LeSean McCoy.

Week 13

Patriots (-7) at Bills

The Bills beat the Patriots at home in Week 4 last year, but that was without Tom Brady on the field. When the future Hall of Famer played in their Week 8 meetings, New England won 41-25. Expect more of the same unless Brady is out for this Week 13 AFC East divisional battle.

Week 14

Colts at Bills (-1.5)

While I’m not expecting Buffalo to be a better team than Indianapolis in 2017, I going to urge you to back the Bills at home in Week 14, mostly because the Colts still have plenty of issues to address after going 8-8 last season and Buffalo will be completely and utterly desperate.

Week 15

Dolphins at Bills (-1.5)

The Bills were swept by the surprising Dolphins last season, but they only lost by a field goal in overtime in Week 15. The Bills avoid the sweep against Miami this season by getting the much-needed home win against their longtime division rivals.

Week 16

Bills at Patriots (-11.5)

Ho—hum…New England has gone 9-2 in the last 11 meetings against Buffalo and once won 15 straight against their division rivals from 2003-2010. Simply put, you should expect Tom Brady to play some lights out football to lead New England to the easy home win in Week 16.

Week 17

Bills at Dolphins

Unfortunately, the Buffalo Bills will close out their 2017 regular season with a road loss against Miami as the Dolphins desperately seek a playoff berth while avoiding the regular season sweep against the Bills.

On the other hand, I’ve got the Bills winning five games in 2017 to fall just a bit short of topping their six-game win total odds. It’s possible Buffalo should reach the six-win mark, but seeing as how they have one of the toughest schedules in the league in 2017, I definitely don’t see the Bills reach seven victories.