Can Fitzpatrick, Surprising Jets Cover NFL Spread on Road vs Brady and Patriots?

Posted by Alex Murphy on Sunday,October 25, 2015 5:25, EST in

Ryan Fitzpatrick and the New York Jets will look to extend their winning ways and cover the spread when they hit the road to take on Tom Brady and the undefeated New England Patriots on Sunday.

Now, let’s find out if the Jets have what it takes to cover the NFL spread as near, double-digit road dogs against their longtime AFC East division rivals.

New York Jets at New England

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, October 25, 2015
Where: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

NFL Odds: New England -9
Over/Under: 48

New England Patriots (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS)

New England remained unbeaten by soundly beating Indianapolis 34-27 in Week 6 despite narrowly failing to cover the spread as an 8.5-point favorite.

Future Hall of Fame quarterback Tom Brady threw for 312 yards and three touchdowns in the win and New England also benefited from the most foolish fake punt I have ever seen.

tom-brady

Now, Brady and the Pats’ top-ranked scoring offense  get to host a Jets team they’ve continually struggled to beat over the years and is ranked first in points allowed under defensive-minded head coach Todd Bowles.

“We’ve had a lot of close games with them over the years,” Brady said. “A lot of situational football has come into play, a lot of two-minute drives and stopping them at the end, overtime games. Not too many games have really gotten out of hand.”

Each of the last four meetings against their AFC East division rivals has been decided by three points or less.

N.Y. Jets (4-1 SU,4-1 ATS)

New York enters this Week 7 showdown coming off a resounding 34-20 win over Washington in Week 6. The Jets easily covered the spread as a 7.5-point home favorite by harassing quarterback Kirk Cousins into two interceptions and getting another strong performance from veteran running back Chris Ivory who rushed for 146 of New York’s season-high 221 yards on the ground.

new-york-jets

The Jets rank first in rushing (146.0 ypg) and will go up against a New England run defense that is ranked a discouraging 22nd against the run (114.2 ypg).

For his part, Bowles is downplaying the significance of this contest.

“Winning this game is not going to make us,” Bowles said. “Losing this game is not going to break us.”

Game Analysis

I’ll get right to the point by saying that I really like the New York Jets to cover the spread as 9-point road dogs n a contest that I believe could come down to the wire.

The Jets have an elite defense and an underrated offense that is seemingly getting better with veteran running  back Chris Ivory running ht better than he ever has and veteran signal-caller Ryan Fitzpatrick playing virtually mistake-free football.

new-england-patriots

The Jets are 4-0 ATS in their L/4 games against a team with a winning record, a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and a bankroll-boosting 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC counterparts.

I know Tom Brady and the Patriots have gone 11-4 ATS in their L/15 games versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall, but the Pays are also 0-4 ATS in their last four meetings against their AFC East division rivals and jus 1-4 ATS in their last five home dates against the J-E-T-S.

With the Underdog in this rivalry posting a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in the last four meetings and the road team going 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, I say the New York Jets are the easy  pick to cover the spread at the very least.

My Pick: Patriots 24 Jets 23