Cardinals vs. Packers NFC Divisional Round ATS Betting Preview

Posted by Daniel Strum on January 13, 2016 in

Saturday’s NFC Divisional Round match up between the Arizona Cardinals and the Green Bay Packers has got many NFL betting enthusiasts licking their chops, as they look to sink in their teeth in the NFL odds hoping to have juicy winning bite. The good news for such bettors is that we’ve been quite successful in spotting some good value NFL picks over the recent time. The bad news, however, is that nothing is as clear as it seems when it comes to this matchup, given that both teams are coming off mixed results in their previous games. But worry not, as we have a brief ATS NFL odds preview of this mouthwatering showdown, seeking to guide you on where the smart money is at.

Green Bay at Arizona Cardinals NFC Divisional Round NFL Betting

When: Saturday, January 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC)
NFL Odds: Green Bay (+7), Arizona (-7)

Why Bet on the Packers (+7)

It is probably not a ringing endorsement that the Packers won their game against the out-of-sorts Redskins that have struggled defensively for the majority of the season, but any win in the playoffs counts greatly, owing to the fact the postseason games usually feature the crème de la crème of the league. After all, the Redskins were the only team favored in the Wild Card games to win at home, yet the Packers proved to be the savvy NFL pick with a 35-18 road win, a 17-point victory margin and a plus 19-point differential against the spread as 2-point underdogs.

If Aaron Rodgers and the Packers can record a similar performance, it would not be a surprise if they manage to cover the spread once again. Mind you, this is a Green Bay team that is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 road games, 4-2 ATS in its last 6 overall games, so covering the point spread this weekend shouldn’t be that big a deal for them.

Carson Palmer came back dominant from his injury ridden 2014.

Why Bet on the Cardinals (-7)

Despite going 9-1 SU in their last 10 overall games and 13-3 SU in their last 16 home games, the Cardinals spot a concerning 1-5 ATS mark in their last 6 home games, including the humiliating 36-6 loss to the Seattle Seahawks, a game in which the Cards were favored to win by six points. Even so, the Cardinals have been quite solid in covering the spread when playing against Green Bay, going 4-2 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Packers. One of those ATS wins came this season, when the Packers (as 6-point closing underdogs) were condemned to a 38-8 loss in Arizona barely three weeks ago.

Wagering on the Cardinals, who are currently installed as the significant 7-point home chalk, therefore makes a lot of sense in ATS NFL lines, considering Carson Palmer and the Cards have already been there and done that this season. Not to mention, Arizona boasts of having the healthiest team—so far—in this year’s playoffs, yet the Packers enter this game with a largely banged up squad on both sides of the ball.

Final Remarks and NFL Betting Prediction

Whereas there are good reasons to bank on the Packers to cover the spread as 7-point underdogs, the Cardinals simply have too many weapons to allow Green Bay to hang close this Saturday, especially with a berth in the NFC Championship Game on the line. Plus, with Green Bay nursing a number of key injuries, maintaining a competitive edge against the healthy and well-rested Arizona squad won’t be easy. We therefore fancy the Cardinals playing with home money and holding serve as 7-point home favorites for a crucial win.

MY ATS Pick: Arizona (-7)