Chicago Bears Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Betting Prediction for 2017

Posted by Michael Hunt on Monday,July 3, 2017 12:39, EST in

Right now, the Bears, on paper, are easily the least-talented NFC North team. Although, they might be talented, the latest NFL odds don’t favor the Chicago Bears for the 2017 season.

And few coaches enter the 2017 on a hotter seat than Chicago Bears head coach John Fox. The Bears were 6-10 in 2015, his first season, but slipped to 3-13 last year. That was the franchise’s most loses since going 1-13 in 1969.

I’d say anything short of seven wins and Fox is probably fired. Just for a point of comparison, Fox’s 9-23 record is four games worse than the record Marc Trestman posted before he was canned and replaced by Fox.

So what can we really expect for the Bears? Let’s find out.

Chicago Bears Win/Loss Odds Analysis and Betting Prediction for 2017

Glennon Or Trubisky?

Fox will have a new starting quarterback in Mike Glennon. He saw action in 21 career games with 18 starts for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, though he hasn’t started a game in the past two seasons.

In 2013, his rookie season, Glennon started 13 games and threw for 19 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He threw for 2,608 yards that year while completing 59 percent of his passes.

In 2014, he started five games for Josh McCown, completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,417 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions. He has 30 career touchdown passes, 15 interceptions and a passer rating of 84.6. The Bears somehow felt comfortable giving him a three-year, $45 million contract – basically bidding against themselves.

Is Ryan Pace Sure of What He’s Doing?

Then GM Ryan Pace stunned everyone by trading up from the No. 3 spot to the No. 2 in this year’s draft and taking North Carolina QB Mitchell Trubisky. Pace, who surrendered picks 3, 67, 111 and next year’s third-rounder to San Francisco, said he felt pressure to take Trubisky before another quarterback-needy team beat him to it.

Pace, however, could not confirm if the 49ers had another trade offer on the table for No. 2. Most experts panned the deal because Trubisky probably would have been there at No. 3.

Ideally for the Bears, Trubisky never plays a down this season and learns behind Glennon. If Glennon performs well, the Bears could then trade him this offseason.

Questions At Receiver

Chicago’s top receiver, Alshon Jeffery, left for Philadelphia in free agency. Thus the Bears are counting big-time on 2015 first-round pick Kevin White to pick up the slack.

However, White has missed 28-of-32 games since entering the league due to a fractured left tibia, fibular spiral fracture, and severe ankle ligament damage. The Bears signed Markus Wheaton, but he missed most of last year with an injury.

Kendall Wright, another new addition, is coming off his worst season in the NFL. Cameron Meredith — the most productive Chicago receiver in 2016 — hurt his thumb during OTAs.

The Chicago Bears are underdogs in the NFL odds for this season.

So Who Will Step Up As a Top Receiver?

The focal point of the offense likely will be second-year running back Jordan Howard. He was great as a rookie, running for 1,313 yards. Howard lost weight this offseason in hopes that it would help him be a more effective player in his second NFL season. He also had eye surgery in May to improve his vision.

Howard hopes that pays off in the passing game by making him a better receiver out of the backfield. He caught 29 passes for 298 yards as a rookie. He had 24 catches over a three-year college career at UAB and Indiana.

The Bears had another promising rookie last year in pass-rushing linebacker Leonard Floyd. Floyd recorded seven sacks as a rookie and received plus pass-rush marks from Pro Football Focus.

However, it took him two months to recover from his late-season concussion. Floyd was concussed twice as a rookie, in Week 11 and again in Week 16. Obviously that’s a long-term concern.

Bears Rarely Favored

Here are the early game-by- game odds for the Bears this season – no Week 17 lines because there are potentially too many intangibles on the final Sunday of the season. I would go under that wins total. I see maybe five wins here unless Glennon is much better than expected.

Also, there just aren’t many playmakers on either side of the ball for Chicago. And here’s one prediction: the Bears’ head coach in 2018 will be former Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops.

The NFL has come calling for Stoops multiple times, but he always had been very happy to stay in Norman until retiring this offseason. Stoops owns two properties in Chicago.

Upcoming Chicago Bears NFL Schedule

  • Week 1 – vs Atlanta Falcons. NFL Odds: Falcons at -7
  • Week 2 – @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers. NFL Odds: Buccaneers at -7
  • Week 3 – vs Pittsbutgh Steelers.  NFL Odds: Steelers at -5.5
  • Week 4 @ Green Bay Packers. NFL Odds: Packers at -9.5
  • Week 5 vs Minnesota Vikings. NFL Odds: Vikings at -2
  • Week 6 @ Baltimore Ravens (-7). NFL Odds: Ravens at -7
  • Week 7 vs Carolina Panthets. NFL Odds: Panthers at -1.5
  • Week 8 @ New Orleans Saints. NFL Odds: Saints at -6
  • Week 9 – BYE
  • Week 10 – vs Green Bay Packers. NFL Odds: -6.5
  • Week 11 – vs Detroit Lions. NFL Odds: Lions at -1
  • Week 12 @ Philadelphia Philiies. NFL Odds: Eagles (-6)
  • Week 13  vs San Francisco 49ers. NFL Odds: Bears at -4
  • Week 14 @ Cincinnati Bengals. NFL Odds: Bengals at -6.5
  • Week 15 @ Detroit Lions. NFL Odds: Lions at -6
  • Week 16 vs Cleveland Browns. NFL Odds: Bears  at -4.5
  • Week 17 @ Minnesota Vikings. NFL Odds: TBA

Latest Chicago Bears Betting Trends

  • Odds to Win Super Bowl LII: +8000
  • Odds to Win NFC Conference: +4000
  • Odds to Win NFC North Division: +2300
  • 2017-18 Regular Season Wins Prediction: O 5½ +130 / U 5½ -160

Final Chicago Bears Betting Prediction

As you can see, the Chicago Bears are going to have a very rough season. There’s not much that’s really defined right now within the team. But, who knows? Maybe the team does actually have an amazing season. For example, the Cowboys were a great example of that last season. Then again, it’s the Bears and we can barely remember the last time this team actually surprised us.

In conclusion, if you’re a Bears fan, make sure to check out the latest NFL betting guides for the upcoming weeks and take note of the latest trends to have a better idea on what to bet on during the regular season.