Chicago at Green Bay Week 4 NFL Odds & Expert Pick for Thursday Night

Chicago at Green Bay Week 4 NFL Odds & Expert Pick for Thursday Night

Written by on September 26, 2017

The Thursday night game this week features the NFL’s oldest rivalry in Bears-Packers. The rivalry began in 1921 and is the league’s most played, with 194 regular-season and postseason games. For the first time since Sept.e24, 1933, and despite the Bears twice leading the series by as many as 24 games, in 1960 and again in 1992, the all-time series is tied (94-94-6). The Packers are favored by -7.5 to take the overall lead on the NFL odds.

Chicago at Green Bay Week 4 NFL Odds & Expert Pick for Thursday Night

When: Thursday, 8:25 PM ET Where: Lambeau Field TV: CBS Radio: WBBM Newsradio 780 AM (Chicago) / 620AM WTMJ (Green Bay) Stream Option: NFL Live Opening NFL Odds: Packers -7.5 (45.5)

Last Season

In Week 7 at Lambeau Field, the Packers won 26-10. Aaron Rodgers threw for 326 yards and three scores. Rodgers was 39 of 56, setting a franchise mark for completions in a game. The Bears lost quarterback Brian Hoyer to a broken left arm in the second quarter. With Jay Cutler already out with a right thumb injury, Chicago turned to third-stringer Matt Barkley. An offense that was already 31st in the league in scoring got worse. Barkley was 6 of 15 for 81 yards and two interceptions.  It got so bad for the Bears that Rodgers had more completions (37) than the Bears had offensive plays (36) by 5:31 of the fourth quarter. None of those QBs are with the Bears now. In Week 15 in Chicago, the Packers won 30-27. Rodgers hit Jordy Nelson with a 60-yard pass to set up Mason Crosby’s 32-yard field goal as time expired, lifting the Packers in one of the coldest games ever played in Chicago. Ty Montgomery ran for a career-high 162 yards and two touchdowns.

Top NFL Week 4 Betting Picks You Shouldn’t Let Pass

Series History

  • Total Meetings: 194
  • First Meeting: November 27th, 1921. Cubs Park. Chicago, Illinois
  • Last Meeting: December 18th, 2016. Soldier Field. Chicago, Illinois
  • All-Time Series: Tied 94-94-6
  • Largest Margin of Victory: Chicago 61-7 (1980)
  • Longest Win Streak: Green Bay 10 (1994-1998)
  • Current Win Streak: Green Bay 2 (2016)

Why Bet On Chicago?

No team wants to start 0-2, but the Bears bounced back with a win in Week 3. Since the playoff field expanded to 12 in 1990, 24 percent of teams to start 1-2 have made the postseason, while just three teams (2 percent) to start 0-3 have done so. The Bears come off a surprising 23-17 OT win over Pittsburgh. Jordan Howard scored the winning points on a 19-yard TD run in OT. He wound up with 138 of Chicago’s 220 yards rushing and two touchdown runs. It was just what the Bears needed with quarterback Mike Glennon delivering another lackluster performance. Glennon dinked and dunked all afternoon but at least he only turned the ball over one time — although the Steelers failed to capitalize on several opportunities late in the game. Glennon completed 15-of-22 passes for 101 yards with one touchdown and one interception and rushed three times for a gain of four yards. He was sacked twice for a loss of 17 yards. The Bears did their best to hide Glennon, rarely asking him to throw on a day where Chicago rushed the ball at will. Bears coach John Fox says it would be safe to assume that Glennon will start at quarterback Thursday night in Green Bay. Chicago lost safety Quintin Demps indefinitely with a broken arm, so the Bears have to turn to safety Adrian Amos, who actually lost his starting job to rookie Eddie Jackson in the preseason.

Why Bet On Green Bay?

The division rivals square off in a prime-time contest for the 12th consecutive season. It is the third consecutive year the Packers will host the Bears for a Thursday night game. The Packers have won seven of the last nine meetings against the Bears at Lambeau Field. Green Bay has outscored Chicago, 240-120, in the last nine games, scoring 20-plus points in seven of those contests. The Packers played without several injured starters and escaped the Bengals, 27-24 in OT on Sunday. Mason Crosby kicked a 27-yard field goal with 6:26 left in overtime set up by Rodgers’ 72-yard pass to Geronimo Allison. Rodgers also connected with Jordy Nelson for a 3-yard touchdown pass with 17 seconds left in regulation to tie the game at 24. The betting odds favor Green Bay to win the Thursday Night Football matchup in Week 4. Rodgers finished 28 of 42 for 313 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. Allison had six catches for 122 yards. With Randall Cobb (chest) out, Allison operated as the No. 3 receiver behind Nelson and Davante Adams. His eight targets were third on the team behind Ty Montgomery (12) and Nelson (9). Rodgers had been 0-7 in his OT career including playoffs. The Packers played without four defensive starters: defensive tackle Mike Daniels (hip), outside linebacker Nick Perry (hand), cornerback Davon House (quad) and inside linebacker Jake Ryan (hamstring, concussion). Backup safety Kentrell Brice (groin) also was inactive. So were two offensive starters: receiver Randall Cobb (chest) and left tackle David Bakhtiari (hamstring). Right tackle Bryan Bulaga, who missed the first two games because of a right ankle injury, dropped out with the same ailment on Sunday and did not return. It’s not clear if any of those guys will be ready Thursday.

Latest NFL Odds Trends

  • Chicago is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games
  • Chicago is 1-6 SU in the last 7 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last 6 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 8-4 ATS in thelast 12 games
  • Green Bay is 10-2 SU in the last 12 games
  • The total went OVER in 9 of Green Bay’s last 10 games

Final Expert Prediction & NFL Odds Pick for Thursday Night

The Packers are really banged up, so I’d take those points. Bears will manage to lose by only a TD.