Can Inconsistent Bills, Overcome Streaking Chiefs in Week 12 NFL Odds Matchup?

Posted by Daniel Strum on Saturday,November 28, 2015 12:02, EST in

The inconsistent Buffalo Bills will look to get back in the win column and bring an abrupt halt to the streaking Kansas City Chiefs’ winning ways when the two AFC playoff hopefuls square off in a suddenly-intriguing Week 12 NFL Odds matchup on Sunday. Now, let’s find out which team is going to bring home the bacon for their betting backers in this contest.

Buffalo @ Kansas City NFL Week 12 Game Information and NFL Odds

When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 29, 2015
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS
NFL Odds: Chiefs -6
O/U: 41.5

Buffalo Bills (5-5 SU, 5-4-1 ATS)

The Bills had their two-game winning streak snapped in their humbling 20-13 Week 11 loss against New England as a 7-point road underdog. Quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed 20 of 36 passes for 233 yards but failed to throw a touchdown pass in the loss.

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Veteran running back LeSean McCoy rushed 20 times for 82 yards and one score in the loss, though the Bills largely kept Tom Brady in check (20-for-39 for 2277 yards). “It’s better than some of the days he’s had against us,” Buffalo coach Rex Ryan said. “He’s smart. He gets rid of the ball when he needs to. He doesn’t take risks.”

Buffalo has held each of its last three opponents to 20 points or less, but has been hampered by the fact that they’ve scored 14 or less for the third time this season. “We have to put more points on the board; start executing,” running back LeSean McCoy said,

Kansas City Chiefs (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS)

The Chiefs have won four straight, including a stunning 33-3 win over AFC West division rival San Diego on Sunday while easily covering the spread as a 3-point road favorite. Kansas City has bounced back stupendously after getting off to a dismal 1-4 start through five games. “I’m proud of the guys for the character they have,” Kansas City coach Andy Reid told reporters. “Very easily could have gone the other way. … They played their hearts out, and they’ll continue to do that because that’s the way they’re wired.”

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Veteran quarterback Alex Smith completed 20 of 25 passes for 253 yards against the Chargers, but it was running back Spencer Ware carried the offense by rushing for 96 yards and two scores on just 11 carries. “We’re putting it all on ourselves instead of trying to rely on other outside things,” said defensive tackle Dontari Poe, who scored his first career touchdown. “We’re not waiting for somebody else to make the play.”

Kansas City’s defense has yards of not allowed more than 339 yards of total offense in each of their last four games while forcing at least one turnover in each of their last six games. “You know, 5-5 obviously is not the goal,” safety Eric Berry said, “but we have our goals set and we know what mission we’re on, so we’re going to keep striving for that.”

Denver @ Kansas City NFL Odds Game Analysis:

55 percent of the betting public likes Buffalo to cover the spread as nearly touchdown road dogs, but I don’t. Kansas City is playing excellent defense right now and has a quarterback in Alex Smith that hasn’t throw an interception since Week 3.

While the Bills have gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six road games, I think the Chiefs are the right pick in this contest after covering the spread in each of their last four games and going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Buffalo has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four road dates against the Chiefs, but Kansas City has gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against their AFC counterparts and I believe they’re going to bring home the bacon just narrowly in this contest.

My Pick: Kansas City 27 Buffalo 20