Every team comes into the new NFL season with the hope that it will be better than the last, and that they can take a serious run at the Super Bowl. Of course, a lot of teams are not going to get anywhere near that level, with many seeing the reality of their situation hit home during the first few weeks of the season. In trying to figure out where a team might land, it’s probably best not to even look at the preseason, as those 4 games are seldom an indicator of what is to come.
The preseason can show how much depth a team has or doesn’t have, but the vanilla playbook and hordes of bench guys seeing time on the field does not really help us see a clear picture of what any team will look like in the regular season. The Kansas City Chiefs, one of the most exciting offensive teams from last season have shown very little of that spark through the first 3 weeks of preseason. Should we perhaps expect more of the same in Week 4? The Green Bay Packers are favored by 1 ½ at home, with the point total set at 35.
Chiefs vs Packers 2019 NFL Preseason Week 4 Spread & Prediction
- When: Thursday, August 29 at 8 PM EST
- Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
- TV: NFL Network
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- Radio: SiriusXM/NFL
- NFL Odds: Green Bay Packers -2.5 (Total 35)
- Sunny: 23°C/74°F
- Humidity: 50%
- Precipitation: 1%
- Cloud Cover: 13%
- Wind: 11 mph WNW
- Stadium Type: Open
Why bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?The Kansas City Chiefs have been knocking on the door of a Super Bowl over the past few seasons, but the addition of Patrick Mahomes at QB last season took them as close as they have been during that time. Assuming that the young QB does not have a sophomore slump this season, we can expect the Chiefs to be a dominant force in the AFC once again.
Mahomes has not seen much playing time this preseason, which may explain why KC has been poor offensively, managing just 7 and 17 points, respectively in back to back losses. The OVER tends to hit when the Chiefs play on the road, with 5 of their last 5 going that route. It has been the same when they are in Green Bay, with 5 of their last 6 games there going OVER, too.
Team Stats (Offense/Last 10 Games)
- Points per Game: 27.20
- Passing Yards: 284.80
- Rushing Yards: 107.80
- Turnovers: 0.60
Why bet on the Green Bay Packers?It would be very easy to argue that the Packers have not lived up to expectations in the Aaron Rodgers era, winning just one championship during his reign. Over the past few seasons, injuries to Rodgers, as well as other key personnel, have derailed this team, but this season looks to be a fresh start with a new head coach in place.
Green Bay started their preseason with a 28-26 win over Houston at home, but have since dropped games to Baltimore and Oakland, with the latter being another close on at 22-21. As always, though, the Packers remain tough to beat at Lambeau, going 8-2-1 in their last 11 home games. In August, though, they are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 outings.
Team Stats (Offense/Last 10 Games)
- Points per Game: 27.80
- Passing Yards: 286.80
- Rushing Yards: 112.20
- Turnovers: 1.20
Chiefs vs Packers NFL Preseason Week 4 Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC North division
- Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games on the road
- Packers are 8-2-1 SU in their last 11 games at home
- Packers are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games played on a Thursday
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Chiefs vs PackersThe Packers have made a habit of getting into close games this preseason, so I think we are looking at more of the same here. I think the OVER is a solid bet, plus I like the Chiefs to go in and steal the win on the road.
Score: Kansas City Chiefs 27 – Green Bay Packers 24