Early NFL Lines & Parlay Betting Picks for Week 1

Posted by Kenny Bell on Thursday,June 15, 2017 1:28, EST in

Are you ready for some NFL football? It’s now less than one month until teams will be reporting to training camp. The Dallas Cowboys are the first to report on July 17. But you can start betting on different games already. So, with that in mind, here are some early NFL lines for Week 1  and different parlay betting choices – barring injury, of course.

Early NFL Lines & Parlay Betting Picks for Week 1

NY Jets at Buffalo Bills (-6, 42.5)

I like the Bills and the under here in the NFL lines. The Jets are truly going to be horrific, especially offensively. At least they are truly embracing a rebuild. Back in the winter, the Jets released expensive veterans such as receiver Brandon Marshall, offensive linemen Nick Mangold and Ryan Clady, and cornerback Darrelle Revis, among a few others. All those guys used to be excellent players but are well past their prime.

Then recently, the team officially threw in the towel for 2017 in also releasing receiver Eric Decker and linebacker David Harris, both starters and respected veterans. That saves the Jets $13.75 million in cash. Long-snapper Tanner Purdum is now the longest-tenured Jet. He is the only holdover from the Jets’ last playoff team (2010).

One of the more intriguing position battles that will take place for the Bills once training camp begins later next month is middle linebacker. Preston Brown and Reggie Ragland will be competing for the spot, while Lorenzo Alexander, Ramon Humber, and Gerald Hodges will compete for the two outside spots. Ragland missed all of last season with a torn ACL suffered in training camp. The Bills were 2-0 vs. the Jets last year. Buffalo looks better on paper and the Jets worse.

Looking back into some quick history between these two, they’ve met 113, with the Bills leading the rivalry record, which currently stands at 60-53.

Atlanta Falcons at Chicago Bears (+6.5, 50.5)

How are the defending NFC champions not at least a touchdown favorite in the NFL lines over a 3-13 Bears team that will be giving QB Mike Glennon his first start since 2014? The Bears’ offense was one of the NFL’s worst last year and has several new pieces with three quarterbacks (Glennon, Mitchell Trubisky and Mark Sanchez), three new wide receivers (Victor Cruz, Markus Wheaton, Kendall Wright) and two new tight ends (Dion Sims and Adam Shaheen). Where the Bears really need someone to step up is at wide receiver. That hasn’t happened since Cameron Meredith went out with a thumb injury.

The Falcons, meanwhile, bring back everyone from that record-setting offense. Matt Ryan was the NFL MVP, Julio Jones is probably the NFL’s best receiver, and RBs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman combined for 2,482 yards and 24 touchdowns last season. The one player Coach Dan Quinn said might not be full-go for the start of training camp is rookie first round pick Takkarist McKinley, who is rehabbing from pre-draft shoulder surgery. Love Falcons on the spread here. Go under the total as I think the Bears will struggle offensively.

If we take the history between these two teams into account, they’ve only met 26 times since their inception and the Falcons lead that series, 14-12.

The Houston Texans are favorites in the NFL lines to beat Jacksonville in Week 1.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (-4.5, 42)

This will be our first look at Jags rookie running back Leonard Fournette, the No. 4 overall pick in this year’s draft who is the Offensive Rookie of the Year betting favorite. Taking Fournette so early is the first indication that new head coach Doug Marrone plans to shift the Jags more toward the run. Last season the Jags finished fourth in passing attempts with 626. The Jags finished 29th in rushing DVOA with the combination of T.J. Yeldon and Chris Ivory at running back last season.

“For me, I like to run the ball every play,” Marrone said this week. “I want to go back to the old way. I want to change the game.” The coach called his offense a “pro style attack with the veer.”

The Jags have some intriguing young defensive talent and that unit should keep Houston’s offense led by mediocre QB Tom Savage largely in check. Last year in Week 15, the Jags only lost 21-20 in Houston. Savage threw for 260 yards after Brock Osweiler was benched in the second quarter, and Lamar Miller scored Houston’s only with less than three minutes remaining. The Jags led 13-0 at one point. Take the points and go under.

Finally, as we look back on this series rivlary, both teams have battled each other 30 times since October 2002. The Texans lead the series with 19 wins and the Jaguars with 11. Interesting to take this into consideration since the Jags are favorites to win.

We’ll have plenty more NFL lines and predictions for the upcoming weeks of the season, plus betting guides for the teams. But for now, get as much knowledge as you can, so once the season comes around, you’ll be more than ready to place your bets. Have fun!