Early NFL Lines SU picks for Week 16

Posted by Daniel Strum on December 22, 2015 in

With just two weeks to go before we call an end to the 2015 NFL regular season games, a good number of teams are zealously fighting to claim victories that would take them to the playoffs or at least better their postseason seeding. For others, however, the season is already wasted away, so Week 16 of the NFL lines presents a chance for them to start preparing for next season and discover possible starters for the coming years. Whichever the case, Week 16 will play a significant role for many teams, determining the fate of various players, coaches and even owners, meaning there’ll be a lot of attention on what happens, starting on Thursday, 24th December. Keeping that in mind, here are our early SU NFL picks for Week 16 games.

Early NFL Lines SU picks for Week 16

San Diego at Oakland

When: Thursday, December 24th at 8:25 PM ET
Odds: Oakland -5
Analysis: Given the way Derek Carr and Philip Rivers have been inconsistent in their QB play, it’s hard to know which version of them will show up for this game, especially since both teams barely have anything left to fight for on the season. But assuming that both QBs are on their best and the two defenses also play like they have been doing this season, then this game should be Oakland’s to lose, mainly because the Raiders have better balance on both ends of the field.

Pick: Oakland

Indianapolis at Miami

When: Sunday, December 27th at 1:00 PM ET
Odds: Miami*
Analysis: After suffering an ugly 16-10 loss to the Houston Texans on Sunday, the Colts (6-8) can’t allow themselves to collect any more losses. And it so happens that 40-year-old QB Matt Hasselbeck and his Indy team will be facing one of the most beatable teams in the league right now, the 5-9 Miami Dolphins, which offers them a good chance to claim a win. But then again, the Colts have one of the worst records when playing against AFC East opponents; Indianapolis has gone 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against AFC East opposition. So although Miami is looking as bad as can be, I am willing to risk by betting on Ryan Tannehill and the Dolphins to show some home pride to claim an ugly win and cover over the equally shaky Colts that have dropped their last three games in a row.

Pick: Miami

Dallas at Buffalo

When: Sunday, December 27th at 1:00 PM ET
Odds: Buffalo -6
Analysis: Both the Cowboys and the Bills have lost their last two straight games, and as a result, they are both out of the playoff picture. That said, Buffalo (6-8) has played better football this season, unlike the Cowboys, whose injury woes and the lack of a competent QB backup for the injured Tony Romo has reduced them to nothingness. With that, Tyrod Taylor and Buffalo should be able to make light work of Kellen Moore/ Matt Cassel en route to a comfy home win.

Pick: Buffalo

Pittsburgh at Baltimore

When: Sunday, December 27th at 1:00 PM ET
Odds: Pittsburgh -10.5
Analysis: Do we even have to talk about this? Ben Roethlisberger and his Steelers teammates are hell-bent on reaching the playoffs and there’s simply no way he’ll be allowing Baltimore to hang close for a possible upset. Expect a double-digit win for Pittsburgh here, as Big Ben and Antonio Brown light up the stadium for a possibly high-scoring thriller.

Pick: Pittsburgh


Houston at Tennessee

When: Sunday, December 27th at 1:00 PM ET
Odds: Houston*
Analysis: Both Houston and Tennessee suffered setbacks in Week 15, as they saw their starting quarterbacks get injured. However, the Texans lost no beat in their game, as 32-year-old third-stringer Brandon Weeden led the Texans to their first ever win in Indianapolis, beating the 16-10, thanks to his 105 passing yards (11-of-18) and a touchdown. Zach Mettenberger, who replaced Marcus Mariota, didn’t witness the same success, being on the end of a brutal loss to the Patriots, as he finished with 242 yards (20-of-28) with two touchdowns and a pair picks plus two sacks. For this Sunday’s encounter, Mariota could be back to his starting role, but if he doesn’t suit up, then Mettenberger will get the start. Either way, the Titans are highly likely to give a spirited show in this game, but going by the hard-nosed defensive nature of Houston’s J.J. Watt-led secondary, I fancy the Texans stiff-arming Tennessee en route to a crucial win that will push them to within one victory of clinching the AFC South crown and a playoff berth.

Pick: Houston

Other NFL SU Picks for Week 16 Games

• Washington at Philadelphia, Pick: Washington
• San Francisco at Detroit, Pick Detroit
• Cleveland at Kansas City, Pick: Kansas City
• Chicago at Tampa Bay, Pick: Tampa Bay
• Jacksonville at New Orleans, New Orleans
• New England at NY Jets, Pick: New England
• Carolina at Atlanta, Pick: Carolina
• NY Giants at Minnesota, Pick: Minnesota
• St. Louis at Seattle, Pick: Seattle
• Green Bay at Arizona, Pick: Arizona

Cincinnati at Denver

When: Monday, December 28th at 8.30 PM ET
Odds: Denver -3.5
Analysis: It’s not that the Bengals are not capable of winning this game, because they can. And it’s not that Denver is devoid of mistakes, the Steelers already proved otherwise in Week 15. It is just that, with the Kansas City Chiefs breathing heavy on Denver’s back, the Broncos cannot afford to lose in Week 16. Added to the fact that Denver’s Brock Osweiler/Peyton Manning (depending on who starts) is well-capable of handling A.J. McCarron in the QB duel, Denver should be a good pick to claim the all-important win in this Monday Night Football game.

Pick: Denver