Expert Analysis on NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks.

Expert Analysis on NFL Week 4 ATS Betting Picks

Written by on September 26, 2017

The schedule for NFL Week 4 presents some interesting match-ups. Can the now, Los Angeles Chargers stop finding new ways to lose games when they host the Philadelphia Eagles this coming weekend? Are the Seattle Seahawks as much of a mess as they’ve looked through three weeks? Last but not least, Can the Washington Redskins pull off their second straight win over an AFC West Super Bowl hopeful after recording one of the most impressive wins on the entire Week 3 docket?Last but not least, Can the Washington Redskins pull off their second straight win over an AFC West Super Bowl hopeful after recording one of the most impressive wins on the entire Week 3 docket? As usual, if you’ve got questions, we got answers, including the latest NFL odds and ATS Picks for you to consider.

NFL Week 4 Analysis & ATS Betting Picks

Chicago at Green Bay Week 4 NFL Odds & Expert Pick for Thursday Night

Philadelphia Eagles at L.A. Chargers

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 4:05 PM ETWhere: StubHub Center, Carson, CaliforniaNFL Week 4 Odds: Philadelphia +1

Analysis

Even though they lost their first two games of the season, Philip Rivers and the Los Angeles Chargers were very competitive in dropping both contests by a field goal or less. Unfortunately, that wasn’t the case in their 24-10, Week 3 home loss to Kansas City.The Bolts never showed up against their longtime AFC West division rivals and are now looking at falling to 0-4 if they fall at home to Philadelphia in Week 4. Rivers tossed three interceptions for the ninth time in his career and L.A. never had a chance to beat Kansas City after they scored a pair of touchdowns in the opening nine minutes.More importantly, the Chargers are having serious problems scoring as the 27 combined points on the board the last two weeks indicates, to enter Week 4 ranked an uninspiring 26th in scoring right now (16.0 ppg), not to mention, a modest 17th in points allowed (22.3 ppg).Conversely, the Eagles have played some gritty football in all three of their games and fought to the very last second in their stunning 27-24 Week 3 home win over the Giants as rookie Jake Elliott nailed a game-winning 61-yard field goal as time expired. The Birds are ranked an encouraging 10th in scoring (25.7 ppg) behind second-year signal-caller Carson Wentz despite ranking a modest 20th in points allowed (22.7 ppg).I had high hopes for the Chargers coming into the 2017 regular season under new head coach Anthony Lynn, but right now, I’m thinking Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia Eagles are the easy pick to get the upset road win and ATS cover after seeing how both of these teams have played through three weeks.

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 4

  • Eagles are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Eagles are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 games on the road
  • Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  • Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
NFL Pick: Philadelphia +1

Indianapolis Colts at Seattle Seahawks

When: Sunday, October 1, 2017, 8:30 PM ETWhere: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, WashingtonNFL Week 4 Odds: Indianapolis +12.5

Analysis 

Indianapolis picked their first win of the season in Week 3 and has played some solid football since their Week 1 debacle against the Rams by narrowly losing to Arizona 16-13 in Week 2 and beating Cleveland 31-28 this past weekend. The Colts are looking a lot better mostly because of the eye-opening play of young quarterback Jacoby Brissett, who has looked pretty damned good in his two starts since replacing Scott Tolzien following his flame-out appearance in Indy’s regular-season opener.According to the NFL Week 4 Odds, the Seahawks are huge favorites against the Indianapolis ColtsConversely, Seattle hasn’t looked particularly impressive all season in losing their opener 17-9 to Green Bay before narrowly squeaking past an awful San Francisco team 12-9 in Week 2 and falling to Tennessee 33-27 on the road this past weekend. The bottom line for me heading into Week 4 is that I simply don’t have a whole bunch of faith in the Seahawks whatsoever right now, even though they entered the 2017 campaign as one of my top selections to win the NFC title this season. Seattle is averaging a pitiful 16.0 points per game to rank 26th in scoring and although they are limiting their opponents to just 19.7 points per game to rank an encouraging eighth in points allowed, they sure didn’t look very cohesive in giving up 33 points to Marcus Mariota and the Titans this past weekend.Simply put, with Indy getting some good play at quarterback, I like them to cover the spread against an offensively-challenged Seahawks team as nearly two-touchdown road dogs.

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 4

  • Colts are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Seattle
  • Seahawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
  • Seahawks are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games at home
NFL Pick: Indianapolis +13

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs

When: Monday, October 2, 2017, 8:30 PM ETWhere: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MissouriNFL Week 4 Odds: Kansas City -8

Analysis

Kansas City is looking good after getting off to a perfect 3-0 start that includes a season-opening road win over New England that I predicted in Week 1, it is Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins that are the pick to get the upset ATS cover as 8-point road dogs in this Week 4 Inter-conference clash.While the Chiefs man-handled the Chargers in their Week 3 AFC West divisional battle to cover the spread, I also predicted, Washington looked even better in beating the Oakland Raiders in all three phases in their surprising 27-10 win on Sunday. Now, while I’m not suggesting that Washington will win outright, I am going to advise you to back Cousins and company to cover a point spread I think should be a lot closer to 4-6 points than the eight points it currently sits at.Despite their excellence this season, Kansas City has gone just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games while Washington has gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record and a blistering 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. I fully expect the Redskins to put up a good effort to cover the NFL betting line although I think they’re going to end up suffering a narrow road loss to the Chiefs to snap their 0-5 ATS mark in their last five road games against the Chiefs.

Latest Betting Trends for NFL Week 4

  • Redskins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games
  • Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road
  • Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Washington
NFL Pick: Washington +7
Dark Mode
Light Mode
Live Chat