Green Bay at New Orleans NFL Week 8 Sunday Night Football Betting Trends

Green Bay at New Orleans NFL Week 8 SNF Betting Trends

Tony Newborn : Thursday,October 23, 2014 7:54, EDT

A dinged up New Orleans Saints (2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS) will host a relaxed Green Bay Packers (5-2 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) squad in a battle of explosive offensives on Sunday Night Football on NBC at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.

The Packers enter this NFL week 8 betting matchup on fire after winning four in a row. The infamous R-E-L-A-X speech has settled this team down. On the other side of the ball, the Saints are a disappointing 2-4 and are looking at a must win game very early in the season.

Matchup: Green Bay Packers at New Orleans Saints
Date
: Oct. 26, 2014
Start Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Location:New Orleans, Louisiana
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
TV Info: NBC
Live StreamNBC Sports Live Extra
Radio: For Saints, click here. For Packers, click here.
Point Spread: New Orleans Saints -1
Money Line: Saints: -122, Packers: +102
Game Total: 56

The Saints are a slim one point home favorite. Such a slim point spread favoring the home team usually signifies that the NFL betting oddsmakers consider the visiting team the favorite, however betting against the Saints at the Superdome is a dangerous proposition.

The Packers are just 1-7 straight up and against the spread in their last eight games as a road underdog.

Packers Vs Saints NFL Week 8 Sunday Night Football Betting Trends

The QB battle between Aaron Rodgers and Drew Brees will determine the outcome of this game.

The Packers have the 20th best passing offense in the NFL and the 22nd rushing offense, but averaging a surprising 28.9 points per game, which is fourth best in the NFL.

The Saints have the No. 2-ranked overall and passing offense in the league, yet the team is two games under .500.

The Saints have better numbers in terms of yards, but an injured TE Jimmy Graham has prevented them to be great in the red zone. New Orleans is second in passing yards, only behind Indianapolis, and 13th rushing the ball, but when scoring they are 10th best in the league averaging 25.8 points per game.

Rodgers Vs Brees Historical Betting Trends

Rodgers has just one interception, leading the Packers to an NFL-best turnover margin (+10). Brees has thrown seven picks, part of the Saints’ nearly last-place turnover margin of minus-8. The 18-turnover difference is staggering.

In four games since Rodgers became the Packers’ full-time quarterback in 2008, the Saints and Packers have combined for an average 70.3 points, second-most in the NFL.

Rodgers is 2-1 in three career starts against the Saints winning the last two meetinga but losing the only time he started in the Superdome. He has thrown 9 TDs and 4 INTs while posting a 102.3 passer rating when facing New Orleans.

Saints QB Drew Brees is 2-3 all-time against the Green Bay Packers, but 2-2 since he becoming a Saint and 0-1 when he as a Charger. Despite the losses, Brees has been outstanding against Green Bay, throwing 14 TDs and 2 INTs for an 110.0 passer rating.

In 2010, Brees threw 22 interceptions, which was 3.3 percent of the time, the highest rate of his New Orleans career. Last year, Brees threw only 12 interceptions, a career-best 1.8-percent rate. The Saints went 11-5 both seasons.

Rodgers, on the other hand, has never had an interception rate higher than 2.4 percent — and that came in 2008, his first season as full-time quarterback.

He does take nearly twice as many sacks as Brees (7.3 percent to 3.8 percent), which is part of the reason that he’s sometimes criticized as being overly cautious.

Against The Spread Betting Trends

The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win, but 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games in October, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.

The Saints road woes are well documented. This year, that poor play has spread to the Superdome as the Saints have struggled with a 20-9 win against Minnesota and a 37-31 overtime win against Tampa Bay in New Orleans. Don’t trust the Saints to win this game, but expect both teams to score a lot of points.