Houston Texans NFL Postseason Betting Analysis

Posted by Eric Williams on Monday,January 2, 2017 3:04, EDT in

The Houston Texans (9-7 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) may not get a whole lot of love from the national media – or NFL oddsmakers, but they have great opportunity to achieve some postseason success for a couple of reasons.

If you want to know what likely lies in store for the AFC South division champs this postseason, then read on.

In Depth Analysis On The Houston Texans NFL Postseason Betting Analysis

 

 

Super Bowl 51 Odds: +5000

AFC Championship Odds: +2500

Why Bet on the Texans

There are several good reasons to back the Houston Texans this postseason, but none better than their stingy, yet still, underrated, defense. Houston enters their wild card matchup against Oakland ranked first in total defense (301.3 ypg), second against the pass (201.6 ypg), 12th against the run (99.7 ypg) and a respectable 11th in points allowed (20.5 ppg).

Not only that, but the Texans look like they’re going to be a lot more dangerous on offense if backup-turned-starter Tom Savage is able to start following his Week 17 concussion, as opposed to having the underachieving Brock Osweiler under center.

Another great reason to back the Texans is their trio of gifted skill position stars of wide receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller and running back Lamar Miller (1,073 rushing yards). Last but not least, Houston head coach Bill O’Brien will note out-coached by many – if any – other coaches this postseason. O’Brien is clearly an excellent head coach that has turned the fortunes of the Texans around in his three seasons at the helm.

 

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Why Bet Against the Texans

The Texans are certainly not unbeatable and could definitely be bounced out of the playoffs because of their uninspiring offense. Houston ranked 29th in total offense (314.7 ypg), an identical 29th against the pass (198.5 ypg), and an uninspiring 29th in scoring (17.4 ppg), though they did manage to rank eighth in rushing (116.2 ypg).

Another reason to bet against the Texans is that they don’t have all-world defensive end J.J. Watt on the field this postseason. Last but not least, the last reason to bet against Houston this postseason is the fact that the Texans have compiled a bunch of dismal ATS trends.

Houston has gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last five home games, 1-5 ATS in their L/6 games against a team with a winning record and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.