Important Trends & Stats to Define your Super Bowl LII Betting Picks

Important Trends & Stats to Define your Super Bowl LII Betting Picks

Written by on January 26, 2018

If you’re planning your Super Bowl LII betting strategy, then you should know that there are some crucial statistics and ATS trends you should be aware of. Thanks to the in-depth legwork that I’ve done just for our online sportsbook NFL betting faithful, you’re going to have those key numbers at your fingertips right here!

Important Trends & Stats to Define your Super Bowl LII Betting Picks

  • When: Sunday, February 4, 2018, 6:30 PM ET
  • Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: NBC
  • Radio: 94.1 FM (Philadelphia) / 98.5 FM (New England)
  • Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
  • Super Bowl LII Betting Odds: New England Patriots -5 (Over/Under at 48 points)

Recent Head to Head (Last 6 Games)

  • Record: New England Patriots lead 4-2
  • Score: Philadelphia Eagles 23.00 / New England Patriots 26.83
  • Rush Yards: Philadelphia Eagles 87.00 / New England Patriots 81.83
  • Pass Attempts: Philadelphia Eagles 40.33 / New England Patriots 45.17
  • Completion Percentage: Philadelphia Eagles 52.48 / New England Patriots 60.52
  • Passing Yards: Philadelphia Eagles 260.83 / New England Patriots 300.17
  • Total Yards: Philadelphia Eagles 347.83 / New England Patriots 382.00
  • Turnovers: Philadelphia Eagles 3.17 / New England Patriots 1.67

Super Bowl 52 Betting Guide: Offense vs. Defense

Betting on Super Bowl LII

The first thing you need to know before making any Super Bowl LII betting plan is that in recent years, the dogs have been barking loud in the annual title tilt. While the favored New England Patriots managed to cash in a year ago as a 3-point favorite against Atlanta, underdogs had covered the chalk in each of the previous five super bowls! Overall, underdogs have compiled a bankroll-boosting 12-4 ATS mark over the last 16 Super Bowls overall. NFC teams have one more Super Bowl victory than their AFC counterparts (26-25). Favorites have gone 35-16 straight up and 28-19-2 against the spread in the Super Bowl. The ‘over/under’ has gone 26-24. The biggest upset came in Super Bowl III (1969) when the New York Jets beat the Baltimore Colts 16-7 as 18-point underdogs. One of the biggest things you should know about betting on the Super Bowl is that the point-spread rarely comes into play! This means that you simply have to pick the winner of the game. There have only been six Super Bowls where the favorite won the game straight up but failed to cover the spread. Those outcomes occurred in 1976, 1989, 1996, 2004, 2005 and 2009. The Patriots come in as the Super Bowl LII Betting favorite by 5 points. There has only been one time where the Super Bowl line was listed as a Pick ‘Em and that was the Super Bowl 49 matchup between the Patriots and Seattle Seahawks that New England held on to win 28-24.

Philadelphia Eagles Key ATS Trends

  • Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win
  • Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points
  • Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
  • Philadelphia is 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
  • Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall
  • Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on field turf
  • Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following a straight up win

New England Patriots Key ATS Trends

  • Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
  • Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on field turf
  • New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 playoff games
  • New England is 16-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
  • Patriots are 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall
  • Patriots are 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up win
  • New England is 36-17-2 ATS in its last 55 games following an ATS loss

Philadelphia Eagles Key Over/Under Trends

  • Over is 12-2 in Eagles last 14 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
  • Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game
  • Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
  • Over is 10-3 in Eagles last 13 games on field turf
  • Under is 5-2 in Eagles last 7 games following a straight up win
  • Under is 10-4-1 in Eagles last 15 playoff games

New England Patriots Key Over/Under Trends

  • Over is 8-2 in Patriots last 10 playoff games
  • Under is 6-2 in Patriots last 8 vs. a team with a winning record
  • Under is 10-4 in Patriots last 14 games overall
  • Over is 67-33 in Patriots last 100 games on field turf
  • Under is 7-3 in Patriots last 10 games following an ATS loss

Key Head-to-Head Betting Trends

  • Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings