The final week of the NFL regular season is arguably the toughest one to wager on for a number of different reasons. We often have meaningless game that make it tough to know which team will rise up and finish strong. We also have teams who have clinched an opening round bye and will be sitting out a number of their key players so as to avoid any injuries.
With that in mind, many of the stats and trend that we have to go on are rendered meaningless, so we all need to dog a little deeper to find the games that are worth wagering on this weekend. One game that falls into the dangerous trap is the one that sees the New York Jets hit the road to face the Buffalo Bills.
The Jets have long since been eliminated from playoff contention, while the Bills have punched their postseason ticket and will have the #5 seed, regardless of the outcome of this one. It’s a tough one to call and the bookies see it as being a tight one, with the Buffalo Bills in as a 2-point favorite. The point total for this one has been set at 36 ½.
Jets vs Bills 2019 NFL Week 17 Lines, Analysis & Prediction
- When: Sunday, December 29 at 1 PM EST
- Where: New Era Field, Buffalo
- TV: CBS
- Radio: New York / Buffalo
- Live Stream: NFL Game Pass
- NFL Week 17 Odds: Bills -2
- Rain: 10°C/50°F
- Humidity: 83%
- Precipitation: 90%
- Wind: 10 mph SE
- Cloud Cover: 98%
- Type of Stadium: Open
Why bet on the New York Jets?
This was supposed to be the year that the Jets began to turn things around, but it has been a total disappointment, as they are coming into the final week of the season with a 6-9 record.
QB Sam Darnold has shown flashes of promise this season, but he has not been consistent enough to help his team get over the hump. It certainly hasn’t helped that the running game has been poor, too, with LeVeon Bell not living up to the money that the Jets paid to land him as a free agent.
When the Jets win, it usually comes against other teams sitting below .500, although they did come away with a 16-10 win over the Steelers last weekend. It has been a better second half for the Jets, who are 5-2 SU in their last 7, although they are 1-7 SU in their last 8 road games.
- Average Score For: 17.53
- Total Yards: 273.14
- Pass Yards: 195.07
- Rush Yards: 78.07
- Average Score Against: 23.53
- Total Yards: 324
- Pass Yards: 236.13
- Rush Yards: 87.87
Why bet on the Buffalo Bills?
It would be easy for the Bills to simply phone this one in knowing that their playoff future cannot change with a win or a loss, but I think that this is one they will want to win. They have lost 3 of their last 3 games and could use a victory to get some of their mojo back heading into the postseason.
Those 2 losses came at the hands of the Ravens and the Patriots, and while those are certainly losses to be ashamed of, they did come against teams they might need to face in the postseason if things go well.
The Bills have now won 11 of their last 16 games and have gone 8-4 SU in their last 12 games versus conference opposition. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 versus teams from the AFC East and 4-2 ATS in their last 6 versus the Jets.
- Average Score For: 20.53
- Total Yards: 331.60
- Pass Yards: 199.53
- Rush Yards: 132.07
- Average Score Against: 16.40
- Total Yards: 300.07
- Pass Yards: 195.80
- Rush Yards: 104.27
NFL Week 17 Betting Trends for New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills
- Jets are 4-8 ATS in the last 12 games against Buffalo
- Jets are 5-2 SU in the last 7 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of NY Jets’ last 5 games
- Bills are 4-2 ATS in the last 6 games
- Bills are 11-5 SU in the last 16 games
- The total went UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games
Jets vs Bills Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction
The Bills really could use a win ahead of the start of the playoffs, and a home game against the Jets is certainly one you would like them to win. I am on the Bills to win and cover on Sunday.
Score Prediction: New York Jets 17 Buffalo Bills 23
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