LA Rams 2017 NFL Season Total Wins Prediction & Betting Odds

Posted by Alex Murphy on Wednesday,July 12, 2017 9:31, EDT in

I’m sure that citizens of the great city of St. Louis are bummed that the no longer have an NFL team, but they probably didn’t mind so much last year as their Rams went to Los Angeles and were borderline unwatchable offensively. Will things be any better in Year 2 on the West Coast? The NFL odds for the 2017 season doesn’t benefit the LA Rams. In other words, doubtful.

LA Rams 2017 NFL Season Total Wins Prediction & Betting Odds

LA Rams Futures Odds

  • 2017-18 Regular Season Total Wins: 5.5
  • Odds To Win NFC West: +1600
  • Odds To Win NFC: +4000
  • Odds To Win Super Bowl LI: +8000

2016 Season Recap

The LA Rams traded a bunch of picks to move up to No. 1 in last year’s draft and select Cal quarterback Jared Goff. He didn’t play until around midseason and looked absolutely lost when on the field.

That might not be all Goff’s fault as he had a terrible offensive line and group of receivers – not to mention awful play-calling. But it has to be concerning. LA finished the year on an 0-7 run with Goff in the lineup.

Jared Goff Didn’t Live Up to the Hype

The rookie signal-caller completed just 54.6 percent of his passes for 1,089 yards and a staggering 5.3 yards per attempt. The Rams were dead last in the NFL in yards each of the past two years, but their struggles are even deeper and more pronounced than that.

They also have finished within the bottom 10 in yards per game each of the past 10 years. During that 10-year stretch, they didn’t have a Pro Bowl quarterback and only had two 1,000-yard receivers — Torry Holt in 2007 and Kenny Britt in 2016.

Using its defense-adjusted value over average metric, Football Outsiders ranked the 2016 Rams as the fourth-worst offense in the past 30 years.

How Bad Was 2016?

Los Angeles finished 32nd overall in total offense and was the only NFL team not to average 300 yards last season. In fact, no team since the 2011 Jacksonville Jaguars averaged fewer total yards per game than the 2016 Rams.

Late last year, the Rams fired coach Jeff Fisher. Fisher’s firing came one day after a 42-14 blowout loss at home to the Atlanta Falcons. It was the Rams’ third consecutive lopsided defeat, and it put the team at 4-9 and handed Fisher his 165th career loss, tying Dan Reeves for the NFL record.

It was long overdue. The Rams never finished better than 7-8-1 under him and since Fisher took over in 2012, the organization had been plagued by an ineffective offense and a continual rash of penalties.

New Faces Everywhere

The Rams focused on offense this offseason, adding offense-minded Sean McVay as coach, former Atlanta Falcons quarterbacks coach Matt LaFleur as offensive coordinator and experienced Greg Olson as quarterbacks coach. All of the moves were made with Goff’s development in mind.

McVay, 31, spent the last three seasons as the Washington Redskins’ offensive coordinator. Last season, Washington ranked third in the NFL in total offense and second in passing. At left tackle, the Rams swapped Greg Robinson for Andrew Whitworth. At center, Tim Barnes was replaced by John Sullivan.

Who Will Be Catching and Running the Ball this Season?

At receiver, Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp will take the place of Britt and Brian Quick. At tight end, Tyler Higbee is primed to absorb the targets that were once directed at Lance Kendricks. Only six of those expected to start the 2017 season were starters on offense during the stretch run last season.

I look for a bounce-back season for running back Todd Gurley. He finished third league-wide with 1,106 rushing yards as a rookie two years ago in only 13 games and won Offensive Rookie of the Year. Gurley faltered in his second season, running for 221 fewer yards despite 49 more carries.

With a new head coach, revamped offensive line and natural improvement from the skill positions, there are plenty of reasons for optimism.

The LA Rams are underdogs in the NFL odds for the 2017 season.

LA Rams 2017 NFL Schedule & Betting Odds

The LA Rams will lose a traditional home game for the second straight year by hosting division-rival Arizona from London. The 2017 schedule will be challenging, but not as difficult as the one from 2016.

They will travel all the way to Eastern Standard Time only twice, to face the Giants and Jaguars. In 2016, they played seven games against playoff teams. In 2017, they’ll play five games against teams coming off a playoff appearance.

  • Week 1 – Sunday, September 10, 4:05pm ET vs. Indianapolis Colts. NFL Odds: Colts (-3)
  • Week 2 – Sunday, September 17, 4:25pm ET vs. Washington Redskins. NFL Odds: Redskins (-2)
  • Week 3 – Thursday, September 21, 8:25pm ET @ San Francisco 49ers. NFL Odds: 49ers (-1.5)
  • Week 4 – Sunday, October 1, 1:00pm ET @ Dallas Cowboys. NFL Odds: Cowboys (-12.5)
  • Week 5 – Sunday, October 8, 4:05pm ET vs. Seattle Seahawks. NFL Odds: Seahawks (-6)
  • Week 6 – Sunday, October 15, 4:05pm ET @ Jacksonville Jaguars. NFL Odds: Jaguars (-3.5)
  • Week 7 – Sunday, October 22, 1:00pm ET vs. Arizona Cardinals. NFL Odds: Cardinals (-3)
  • Week 8 – BYE
  • Week 9 – Sunday, November 5, 1:00pm ET @ New York Giants. NFL Odds: Giants (-8.5)
  • Week 10 – Sunday, November 12, 4:05pm ET vs. Houston Texans. NFL Odds: Texans (-3)
  • Week 11 – Sunday, November 19, 1:00pm ET @ Minnesota Vikings. NFL Odds: Vikings (-7.5)
  • Week 12 – Sunday, November 26, 4:05pm ET vs. New Orleans Saints. NFL Odds: Saints (-2)
  • Week 13 – Sunday, December 3, 4:25pm ET @ Arizona Cardinals. NFL Odds: Cardinals (-8.5)
  • Week 14 – Sunday, December 10, 4:25pm ET vs. Philadelphia Eagles. NFL Odds: Eagles (-1.5)
  • Week 15 – Sunday, December 17, 4:05pm ET @ Seattle Seahawks. NFL Odds: Seahawks (-13.5)
  • Week 16 – Sunday, December 24, 1:00pm ET@ Tennessee Titans. NFL Odds: Titans (-7)
  • Week 17 – Sunday, December 31, 4:25pm ET vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Odds: (TBA)

Final 2017 LA Rams Season Prediction

This team simply can’t be as bad offensively as last year. Goff was picked No. 1 for a reason. Gurley has Pro Bowl talent. Still not a huge fan of the receivers, though. Defensively, this is a good club, led by defensive tackle Aaron Donald, one of the best in the NFL regardless of position.

If the offense could just put up 21 points a game, the Rams could sniff .500. I’m going over that total: Rams finish 6-10.