New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins: Line and Betting Trends for Week 15

Written by on December 15, 2020

The New England Patriots (6-7) are slight, 2.5-point underdogs in a home AFC East matchup against the Miami Dolphins (8-5) on Sunday, December 20, 2020 Hard Rock Stadium. The point total is set at 41.5 for the game.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 20, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Miami Gardens, FL
  • Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
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Betting Information

Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Dolphins -2.5 -110 -110 41.5 -110 -110 N/A N/A

Dolphins Betting Insights

  • Miami has compiled a 10-3 record against the spread this season.
  • The Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-1 when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
  • Miami’s games have gone under the point total in eight out of 13 opportunities this season (61.5%).
  • The Dolphins, on average, score 3.9 more points per game this season (25.4) than the Patriots allow (21.5).
  • In games where Miami score at least 25.4 points this season, they are 5-2 overall and 7-0 against the spread.
  • New England is 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 21.5 points.
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Patriots Betting Insights

  • Most of New England’s games this year — nine out of 13 — have not gone over the point total (69.2%).
  • New England has compiled a losing 6-7 record against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have a losing ATS record of 2-3 when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • The Dolphins defense has allowed 18.8 points per game this season, close to the same amount as the 21.3 the Patriots have scored.
  • New England is 4-1 overall and 3-2 against the spread when they score at least 21.3 points this season.
  • Miami is 6-0 overall and 6-0 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 18.8 points.
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Computer Picks

Computer picks for Dolphins vs Patriots
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-2.5) Over (41.5) Dolphins 25 Patriots 18

Total Facts

  • The Dolphins and their opponents have put up at least 41.5 points — this matchup’s point total — in eight of 13 games (61.5%) this season.
  • The Patriots have played in six games this year (out of 13 total matchups — 46.2% of opportunities) where they and their opponents combined to score more than 41.5 points.
  • The Dolphins and the Patriots combine to average 5.2 more points per game than the total of 41.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Dolphins and the Patriots have seen their opponents average a combined 1.2 less points per game than the over/under of 41.5 set for this matchup.
  • The average point total in Dolphins games this year is 2.7 more points than the total of 41.5 in this matchup.
  • Patriots games this season have averaged a total of 42.8 points, 1.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
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Dolphins vs Patriots: Last 5 Meetings

New England has a 3-2 advantage over Miami in the last five matchups between these two squads. The Patriots are 2-1 against the spread in those games against the Dolphins. New England has had the scoring advantage in those five matchups, recording 159 points while Miami put up 79.

Dolphins vs Patriots: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
9/13/2020 Patriots Patriots -7.50 41.50 -345 +295 357-269 NE 21-11 NE
12/29/2019 Patriots Patriots -17 45 -1250 +900 389-352 MIA 27-24 MIA
9/15/2019 Patriots Dolphins -18 48.5 -1250 +900 381-184 NE 43-0 NE
12/9/2018 N/A Dolphins N/A N/A N/A N/A 421-412 NE 34-33 MIA
9/30/2018 N/A Patriots N/A N/A N/A N/A 449-172 NE 38-7 NE

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • Miami has gone 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 overall in their last three contests.
  • Miami has hit under the total two times in their last three games.
  • The Dolphins have averaged a total of 36.3 combined points in their last three games, 5.2 less than this matchup’s total of 41.5.
  • New England has been excelling as of late, going 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 straight up over their last three contests.
  • New England has gone under the total three times in their last three outcomes.
  • The Patriots have averaged a total of 36.3 combined points over their last three games, 5.2 fewer than this matchup’s over/under of 41.5.

Injury Report

Dolphins: LB Kyle Van Noy: Questionable (Hip), G Ereck Flowers: Questionable (Ankle), WR DeVante Parker: Questionable (Leg), WR Jakeem Grant Sr.: Questionable (Hamstring), LB Elandon Roberts: Questionable (Chest), LB Vince Biegel: Out (Torn Achilles), NT Davon Godchaux: Out (Biceps), RB Matt Breida: Out (Illness), CB Jamal Perry: Out (Illness), TE Mike Gesicki: Questionable (Shoulder), RB Myles Gaskin: Out (Illness), DE Jonathan Ledbetter: Out (Ankle), WR Preston Williams: Out (Foot), RB Salvon Ahmed: Questionable (Shoulder)

Patriots: WR Julian Edelman: Out (Knee), RB Rex Burkhead: Out (Acl), OLB Brandon Copeland: Out (Torn Pectoral), DT Beau Allen: Out (Leg), DT Carl Davis Jr.: Out (Concussion), LB Brandon King: Out (Quadriceps), LB Shilique Calhoun: Out (Knee), WR Quincy Adeboyejo: Out (Undisclosed), OT Isaiah Wynn: Out (Knee), TE Ryan Izzo: Out (Hamstring/hand/neck), RB Damien Harris: Questionable (Back), OT Yodny Cajuste: Out (Knee), RB J.J. Taylor: Questionable (Quadriceps), TE Jake Burt: Out (Undisclosed), DL Michael Barnett: Out (Knee)


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