New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons Odds and Computer Picks for Week 11

Written by on November 18, 2020

The New Orleans Saints (7-2) are favored by 5.0 points as they look to keep their six-game winning streak going in a matchup with the Atlanta Falcons (3-6) on Sunday, November 22, 2020 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The contest’s over/under is set at 51.0.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, November 22, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: New Orleans, LA
  • Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Click here to place a bet on the Saints or the Falcons in their matchup on 11/22/2020.

Betting Information

Saints vs Falcons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Saints -5.0 -110 -110 51.0 -110 -110 -230 190

Saints Betting Insights

  • New Orleans is just 4-5 against the spread.
  • The Saints are just 1-3 ATS when favored by at least 5.0 points.
  • New Orleans’ games have hit the over in seven out of nine outings this season (77.8%).
  • The Falcons defense has allowed 27.9 points per game this season, about the same amount as the 30.1 the Saints have scored.
  • In games where New Orleans score at least 30.1 points this season, they are 3-0 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • When the Atlanta defense allows 27.9 points or fewer this year, the Falcons have put together a 3-2 overall record and a 3-2 record against the spread.
Click here to bet on the Saints to win the Super Bowl

Falcons Betting Insights

  • Atlanta’s games have hit the over in five out of nine opportunities this season (55.6%).
  • Atlanta has a losing 4-5 record against the spread.
  • The Falcons, on average, score 3.3 more points per game this season (27) than the Saints allow (23.7).
  • In games where Atlanta scores at least 27 points this season, they are 2-1 overall and 3-0 against the spread.
  • When New Orleans allows opposing offenses to put 23.7 points or fewer on the scoreboard this year, they are 4-0 overall and 3-1 against the spread.
Click here to bet on the Falcons to win the Super Bowl

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Saints vs Falcons
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Saints (-5) Over (51) Saints 35 Falcons 19

Total Facts

  • The Saints and their opponents have combined for 51.0 points — this matchup’s over/under — in six of nine opportunities (66.7%) this year.
  • The Falcons have played in five games this season (out of nine total matchups — 55.6% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score at least 51.0 points.
  • The Saints and the Falcons combine to average 6.1 more points per game than the total of 51.0 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 51.6 points per game, 0.6 more than the over/under in this game.
  • The average over/under the Saints have had set in games this year is 2.8 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • Falcons games this season have averaged a total of 54.9 points, 3.9 more than the point total in this matchup.
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Saints vs Falcons: Last 5 Meetings

New Orleans has an edge against Atlanta over the last five meetings between these two squads, recording a 4-1 record in those games. The Saints and Falcons have an even 1-1 record against the spread in those games. New Orleans outscored Atlanta 132-111 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Saints vs Falcons: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
11/28/2019 Saints Falcons -7 48 -375 +310 348-279 ATL 26-18 NO
11/10/2019 Saints Saints -14 51.5 -770 +600 317-310 ATL 26-9 ATL
11/22/2018 N/A Saints N/A N/A N/A N/A 366-312 ATL 31-17 NO
9/23/2018 N/A Falcons N/A N/A N/A N/A 534-407 NO 43-37 NO
12/24/2017 N/A Saints N/A N/A N/A N/A 331-315 ATL 23-13 NO

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • New Orleans is 2-1 against the spread and 3-0 straight up in their last three outcomes.
  • The under has been the norm for New Orleans. They have failed to reach the total two times in the last three contests.
  • The Saints have averaged a total of 43.3 combined points over their last three games, 7.7 less than this matchup’s total of 51.0.
  • Atlanta has gone 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall over their last three games.
  • Atlanta has gone under the total two times in their last three games.
  • The Falcons total over the last three games is 1.7 points fewer than the 51.0 over/under listed for this matchup.

Injury Report

Saints: QB Drew Brees: Out (Ribs), DB Johnson Bademosi: Out (Undisclosed), TE Josh Hill: Questionable (Concussion), WR Bennie Fowler: Out (Shoulder), DT Malcom Brown: Questionable (Calf), DT Sheldon Rankins: Out (Knee), DE Noah Spence: Out (Knee), RB Dwayne Washington: Questionable (Back), CB Marshon Lattimore: Questionable (Oblique), CB Justin Hardee: Out (Groin), WR Tre’Quan Smith: Questionable (Concussion), DT Jalen Dalton: Out (Tricep), P Blake Gillikin: Out (Back)

Falcons: OLB Dante Fowler Jr.: Out (Illness), WR Laquon Treadwell: Out (Illness), SS Damontae Kazee: Out (Achilles), WR Calvin Ridley: Questionable (Foot), CB Jordan Miller: Out (Oblique)

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