NFC South NFL Season Win Total Over/Under Betting Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Thursday,May 25, 2017 12:45, EDT in

Will Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers take another step forward in 2017 after nearly reaching the playoffs a year ago? Will the addition of Christian McCaffery help Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers get back in the postseason after they failed to do so in 2016, just one year after reaching the Super Bowl?

How long has it been since Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints reached the postseason? Last but not least, can Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons bounce back from their crushing Super Bowl 51 loss to challenge for another playoff berth this coming season?

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If you’re looking for answers, to any of the aforementioned questions, then I’ve got answers. Thanks to the expert analysis that you’re about to get on every NFC South team’s Over/Under win total odds for the upcoming 2017 season, you will too.

NFC South NFL Season Win Total Over/Under Betting Picks

 

 

NFC South

Atlanta 10 Wins

Home: Panthers, Saints, Buccaneers, Cowboys, Packers, Vikings, Bills, Dolphins
Away: Panthers, Saints, Buccaneers, Lions, Bears, Seahawks, Jets, Patriots

Analysis: Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons will look to rebound after pulling off one of the biggest choke jobs in Super Bowl history and they could do just that seeing as how they’ve got a manageable schedule in 2017. I like the Falcons to get a road win in Chicago in their opener after finishing the 2016 campaign ranked first in scoring (33.8 ppg) in 2016. Atlanta then loses at home to Green Bay in a shootout before winning in Detroit and at home against Buffalo just before their Week 5 bye.

I like the Falcons to then win at home against Miami before losing their Super Bowl rematch in New England. A road loss over the Jets, a road loss at Carolina and a home win over Dallas will take place in Weeks 8, 9 and 10. The Panthers then lose at Seattle before coming home to record a trio of wins over the Buccaneers, Vikings and Saints. A pair of road losses at Tampa Bay and New Orleans will preclude Atlanta’s season-ending home win over Carolina to help Atlanta finish at 10-6. Now, whether they succeed in the postseason is another matter altogether as we learned last postseason.

Pick: 10 Wins

Carolina 9 Wins

Home: Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, Eagles, Packers, Vikings, Bills, Dolphins
Away: Falcons, Saints, Buccaneers, Lions, Bears, 49ers, Jets, Patriots

Analysis: Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers sunk to 6-10 one year after participating in Super Bowl 50, but they have plenty of reason for hope in 2017 after adding a player I believe will become a flat-out star in former Stanford superstar Christian McCaffery. The Panthers ranked a modest 19th in total offense (343.7 ypg) but are essentially getting four players in one with McCaffrey’s unique ability to line up at running back, slot receiver, wide receiver and return punts.

I like Carolina to win in Frisco in their opener before coming home to beat the Bills and Saints. The Panthers will lose at New England in Week 4, but they’ll beat Detroit on the road a week later, Philadelphia at home and win in the Windy City in Weeks 5, 6 and 7.

I smell a road loss at Tampa Bay and a home win over Miami just before Carolina’s Week 11 bye. A road win over the Jets, a road loss against New Orleans and home wins over Minnesota, Green Bay and Tampa Bay will preclude the Panthers’ season-ending road loss in Atlanta as Carolina finishes at 10-6 and narrowly top their 2017 win total odds.

Pick: Over 9 Wins

New Orleans 8.5 Wins

New Orleans 8.5 Wins

Home: Panthers, Falcons, Buccaneers, Lions, Bears, Redskins, Jets, Patriots
Away: Panthers, Falcons, Buccaneers, Packers, Vikings, Rams, Bills, Dolphins (in London)

Analysis: Despite going just 7-9 last season, Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints weren’t completely awful in closing out the 2016 regular season ranked a stellar first in total offense and second in scoring (29.3 ppg). Of course, the Saints need to improve a defense that finished the season ranked a dismal 28th in points allowed (28.4 ppg), so there’s work to do, particularly on the defensive side of the ball in 2017.

I believe the Saints will go 3-3 in their six NFC South division matchups while adding home wins against the Detroit, Chicago and the New York Jets while also bagging road wins against the Los Angeles Rams and young quarterback Jared Goff, as well as Buffalo and possible the Miami Dolphins when they meet in London. 10 wins may be a bit much, but I like Drew Brees and company will get to 9-7 in 2017 if they play any sort of competent defense.

Pick: Over 8.5 Wins

Tampa Bay 8 Wins

Home: Panthers, Saints, Falcons, Bears, Lions, Giants, Patriots, Jets
Away: Panthers, Saints, Falcons, Cardinals, Packers, Vikings, Bills, Dolphins

Analysis: Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are improving in a hurry and now have the look of a dangerous team that could surprise in 2017 after finishing last season ranked 19th in scoring (22.1 ppg) and 15th in points allowed (23.1 ppg). The Buccaneers gave Winston another pair of elite targets by signing veteran wide receiver DeSean Jackson in free agency and drafting Alabama tight end O.J. Howard with the 19th overall pick in the draft.

I like the Buccaneers to go 3-3 in their six NFC South division matchups simply because there doesn’t appear to be one team in the division that is head and should better than anyone else. I also like Winston to lead the Bucs to home wins against Chicago, Detroit, the New York Giants and Jets and road victories against Minnesota, Buffalo and Miami to finish at 10-6. I don’t know why Tampa Bay’s win total odds are seemingly a bit low, but I believe they’re a virtual lock to reach nine wins at the very minimum.

Pick: Over 8 Wins