NFL Player Prop Tips: Adam Thielen in Vikings vs Falcons in Week 6

Written by on October 16, 2020

Adam Thielen will hit the field for the Minnesota Vikings against the Atlanta Falcons on Monday at U.S. Bank Stadium with prop bets set for receiving yards and touchdowns in the matchup. Here are some betting insights and tips for the WR’s props.

Thielen’s Last Time Out

Adam Thielen’s Last Time Out
Opponent Rec Yds TDs
Week 5 Seahawks 9 80 2

Betting Information

Adam Thielen Week 6 Prop Bets
Over/Under Over Odds Under Odds
Receiving Yards 83.5 -119 -111
Receiving TDs 0.5 -126 -104

Receiving Yards Betting Trends

  • Thielen is averaging 72.8 receiving yards per game, 10.7 fewer than the over/under of 83.5 set for Sunday’s matchup.
  • In two of five games this year (40%), Thielen has collected more than 83.5 receiving yards.
  • Thielen’s average prop bet for receiving yards is an over/under of 74.9 per game. He averages 2.1 less per game than that average.
  • Thielen has hit the over on receiving yards prop bets in only two of his five games (40%).
  • In 60% of his games (three of five opportunities), Thielen has gone over his average receiving yards prop bet (74.9).
  • Atlanta has given up more than 83.5 receiving yards to 10 players this season.
  • The Falcons have given up the second-most receiving yards in the NFL this season (345.6 per game).

Receiving TDs Betting Tips

  • Thielen’s per-game receiving touchdown average — 1.2 — is 0.7 more touchdowns than his prop bet over/under for Sunday’s game (0.5).
  • In 80% of his games this season (four of five), Thielen has pulled down more than 0.5 receiving touchdowns.
  • The average prop bet over/under Thielen has had set for receiving touchdowns this season is 0.5. He often has surpassed that number as he has caught 1.2 touchdowns per game, 0.7 more than his average prop.
  • In 80% of his games (four of five), Thielen has gone over his receiving touchdowns prop bet total.
  • Thielen has outpaced his average receiving touchdowns prop bet total (0.5) in 80% of his games (four out of five opportunities).
  • 11 players have recorded at least one receiving touchdown against Atlanta this season.
  • The Falcons have allowed the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL this season (3.0 per game).

Thielen vs the Falcons (Last 2 Games)

Adam Thielen vs the Falcons
Rec Yds TDs
9/8/2019 3 43 1
12/3/2017 4 51 0
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