Monday, September 29, 8:30, Stadium, Kansas City, MissouriThe return of Rob Gronkowski from injuries was supposed to be a boost to the offense, but so far this season, his presence hasn’t had the desired effect on the team. The Chiefs were a playoff team last year, and were expected to make a return trip to the playoffs this year, but they have had to deal with some injuries, which have affected both their offense and defense. All Pro running back Jamaal Charles missed the team’s last game due to an ankle injury, but he has been hampered by injuries this year, and only has 23 yards on 9 carries this season. If he is unable to return to last year’s form, the Chiefs will have a tough time winning games, because he is their best player. On defense, Kansas City lost their Pro Bowl linebacker Derrick Johnson and their starting defensive tackle Mike DeVito to Achilles injuries, in the first game of the season against the Tennessee Titans, which effectively ended their seasons.
Betting PreviewThe Patriots are 1-2 ATS this season, while the Chiefs are 2-1 ATS. New England will try to take advantage of Kansas City’s run defense, which allows over 130 yards per game, which is 23rd in the league. If they can run the ball well against the Chiefs, it will allow them to control the clock, and open up their passing game. The Chiefs running game hasn’t been effective so far this season, if they get Jamaal Charles back for the game, expect them to run try running the ball, but if he sits this game out, they will be forced to put the ball in the air more often, which will play right into the hands of the Patriots, who have the best pass defense in the league, and will cause problems for Alex Smith. Game Odds: PATRIOTS: -3½-105, OV 46 ½ -110, ML -170 CHIEFS: +3½-115, UN 46 ½ -110, ML +150
- The Patriots are favored to win this game by 3½ points and the Over/Under is 46.5 points.
- The Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on the road, and 3-6 straight up in their last 9 road games.
- The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, and 1-5 straight up in that span.