Ravens vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 1 Lines, Analysis and Prediction

Ravens vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 1 Lines, Analysis and Prediction

Written by on September 4, 2019

The Miami Dolphins are projected to be one of the worst teams in the NFL this season. The Baltimore Ravens aren’t expected to contend with Pittsburgh and Cleveland in the AFC North. Will the Dolphins surprise everyone in Week 1? Will Baltimore show they have as much of a shot at winning the North as the Browns and Steelers? Check out NFL odds, analysis, and a free pick for Ravens vs Dolphins Week 1!

Ravens vs Dolphins 2019 NFL Week 1 Lines, Analysis and Prediction

Why Baltimore Ravens are a good bet -7?

In quarterback Lamar Jackson’s rookie season, the Baltimore Ravens made it to the playoffs. Jackson’s passing stats weren’t mind-blowing. Including a playoff game versus the L.A. Chargers, Jackson only threw 6 TD passes. However, he also only threw 3 interceptions the entire season, including the playoff battle.

2 picks happened in a single game, which means Jackson takes care of the football. More impressively? He averaged 4.7 yards per carry and rushed for 5 touchdowns. Baltimore’s defense ranked first last season, which means Jackson should account for the points while the Ravens should blanket the Dolphins ravaged offense.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 374.9
  • Passing Yards: 222.4
  • Rushing Yards: 152.6
  • Points Scored: 24.3
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 292.9
  • Passing Yards: 210
  • Rushing Yards: 82.9
  • Points Allowed: 17.9

Why Miami Dolphins are a good bet +7?

On paper, the Dolphins look like a mess. A deeper dive reveals there’s some talent there. Rookie right defensive tackle Christian Wilkins should have an immediate impact. On the second line in the defense, Rashad Jones is a good linebacker while plenty of teams would love to have the Dolphins starting secondary.

If the rebuilt offensive line does it’s job, Miami should play much better in this game than many believe. They can cover the spread at home versus the Ravens.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Total Yards: 289.9
  • Passing Yards: 181.3
  • Rushing Yards: 108.6
  • Points Scored: 19.9
Defense:
  • Total Yards: 391.1
  • Passing Yards: 245.8
  • Rushing Yards: 145.3
  • Points Allowed: 27.1

NFL Week 1 Betting Trends for Ravens vs Dolphins

  • Ravens are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass
  • Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • Under is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games in Week 1
  • Dolphins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1
  • Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games
  • Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 games on grass

Ravens vs Dolphins Final Betting Analysis

Miami’s defense isn’t terrible. Unfortunately, the offense is horrible. Choosing Ryan Fitzpatrick over Josh Rosen means Miami will be looking to grab Tua Tagovailoa, Jalen Hurts, or Trevor Lawrence with a Top 3 pick in this season’s NFL Draft.

While the Ravens will be looking for a victory on Sunday, Miami will be looking to establish itself as a squad that can secure the top pick. How else do we explain the Dolphins trading away offensive tackle Laremy Tunsil, wide receiver Kenny Stills, and linebacker Kiko Alonso, a week before the season starts? The Ravens should dominate. If Baltimore doesn’t win by at least 10, it would be a surprise.

NFL Free Pick: Baltimore Ravens -7