Updated Super Bowl 50 Game Total Pick

Posted by Henry Watkins on February 2, 2016 in

As you can see from the ticker on the main page at MyBookie.ag, the countdown to Super Bowl 50 in Santa Clara, California is well and truly on. We are still a few days away from kick-off, which means there is still plenty of time to review the many different wager that are available for the big game. One of the more intriguing options is the game total, especially since you have what amounts to the unstoppable force of the Carolina Panthers going against the immovable object that is the Denver Broncos defense. The game total going around in online sportsbooks is currently set at 45.5 points, and there is an argument to be made for both the OVER and the UNDER.

Panthers vs. Broncos SB50 Online Sportsbook Lines

When: Sunday, February 7, 2015
Kickoff: 6:30 PM ET
Where: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Spread: Panthers -6
Moneyline: Carolina -245 vs Denver +205
Game Total: 45.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports

Why bet on Super Bowl 50 to go OVER 45.5 Total Points

There are a number of different scenarios that could happen that would make this game total seem pretty small. The first of these is of the Panthers can continue to be dominant in their early drives, which they have been in their previous two playoff games. Carolina scored in their opening 3 drives of the game against the Seahawks and the Cardinals, and it can certainly be argued that the Seattle defense is at least on a par with what Denver are bringing to the table.

Field position could also play a huge role in deciding whether or not this game goes OVER. The Carolina defense has been causing all sorts of turnovers this postseason, and that usually results in Cam Newton having excellent starting field position more often than not. The same rules apply for Denver here, too. Their D can wreak havoc, and you get the sense that Peyton Manning still has what it takes to do doe real damage, assuming he doesn’t have to try and drive his team 75-80 yards on every drive.

Why bet on Super Bowl 50 to go UNDER 45.5 Total Points

The most obvious way this will happen is if the Denver Broncos defense can continue to play at a ridiculously high level. When you are able to hold the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New England Patriots to a combined 34 points in 2 games, you are looking at a defense that is playing at an elite level. This defense has the ability to keep Cam Newton in the pocket at all times, and if they can shut down Greg Olsen, it could end up being a long day for the Panthers.

There has been a lot of talk about the diminishing arm strength of Peyton Manning, and that may actually play into the favor of the UNDER bettors. I don’t really see Denver taking a lot of shots downfield, which means shorter plays designed to take time off the clock, which would also limit how much time Newton and the Panthers offense spend on the field. If the Broncos can win the time of possession battle, I see this one going UNDER.