Steelers vs Broncos NFL Week 12 Spread & Expert Pick

Steelers vs Broncos NFL Week 12 Spread & Expert Pick

Written by on November 23, 2018

The Pittsburgh Steelers had one of the better comebacks in franchise history last week in Jacksonville to win their sixth straight game. Could a bit of a letdown be coming against a Denver Broncos team that just upset a very good Chargers side? The Steelers aren’t NFL betting favorites by much.

 

How to Bet Steelers vs Broncos NFL Week 12 Odds & Game Info

 

 

Cardinals vs Chargers NFL Week 12 Odds & Pick

 

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 4°C/40°F
  • Humidity: 23%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 13%
  • Wind: 6 mph NW
  • Stadium Type: Open

 

Last Meeting

The Broncos lead the all-time series 19-11-1 including playoffs.

 

The last meeting was in the divisional playoffs in Denver following the 2015 season. The Broncos won 23-16. Peyton Manning was still the Denver QB then and he led a late game-winning drive. With Denver down 13-12 with less than 10 minutes left, cornerback Bradley Roby punched the ball from Fitzgerald Toussaint’s arms and teammate DeMarcus Ware recovered at the Denver 35-yard line. Manning would then lead the TD drive to put his team up 20-13 with three minutes left. Ben Roethlisberger completed 24 of 37 passes for 339 yards despite playing with a sore right shoulder and missing his top receiver in Antonio Brown (concussion).

 

Why Bet on Pittsburgh?

The Steelers rallied from down 16-0 late in the third quarter last week to win 20-16 in Jacksonville. Pittsburgh failed to score in the first half for the first time in more than two years. Ben Roethlisberger overcame three interceptions leading touchdown drives on the Steelers’ last two possessions, and Pittsburgh escaped with its sixth straight victory. Roethlisberger completed 27-of-47 passes for 314 yards with two touchdowns. Things got off to a disastrous start as Roethlisberger had just 53 passing yards at the half with two interceptions.

 

Antonio Brown caught 5-of-13 targets for 117 yards and a touchdown. Brown was erased by Jalen Ramsey through nearly three quarters with just one catch, then his entire day changed on one play. On a play in which Roethlisberger extended the play in the pocket, Brown found a hole in zone coverage upfield and raced 78 yards to the end zone. It was the eighth consecutive game in which Brown has caught a touchdown pass, the longest streak since Wes Welker over the 2012-2013 seasons.

 

With a touchdown reception on Sunday, Brown would tie Hall of Famer Lance Alworth (nine consecutive games in 1963) and A.J. Green (nine consecutive games in 2012) for the third-longest streak of games with a touchdown catch within a single season in NFL history.

 

Pittsburgh could again be without starting defensive lineman Stephon Tuitt as he said strength in his elbow is still an issue. Tuitt missed Week 11 after suffering his elbow injury Week 10, and he’s still feeling some of the effects. Tuitt is Pro Football Focus’ No. 9 ranked interior defensive lineman against the run.

 

Why Bet on Denver?

The Broncos stunned the Chargers 23-22 in Los Angeles last week. Brandon McManus kicked a last-second 34-yard field goal to snap the Chargers’ six-game winning streak. Denver got the ball at its own 8 with 1:51 remaining, and Case Keenum orchestrated a seven-play, 76-yard drive. Keenum, who was 19 of 32 for 205 yards, completed five passes for 86 yards during the drive, including a 30-yarder to Courtland Sutton to the Denver 16. Keenum then spiked the ball and McManus’ kick split the uprights.

 

Phillip Lindsay had 79 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries while nabbing four catches for 27 yards. The rookie flashed his signature speed with a 41-yard touchdown burst during the second quarter. Royce Freeman delivered 23 yards and a touchdown on seven carries.

 

Steelers vs Broncos is one of the best NFL Week Games.

 

Von Miller was named AFC Defensive Player of the Week for Week 11. Miller became the fifth-fastest player to reach 100 career sacks last week against the Chargers, taking down Philip Rivers once and also picking off a third-quarter pass to set up a Royce Freeman touchdown a couple plays later. Miller has 10 sacks on the year, joining Reggie White and DeMarcus Ware as the only three players to reach double-digits seven times in their first eight seasons.

 

Rookie Bradley Chubb finished with seven tackles, a sack, two tackles for losses and two quarterback hits. Chubb is threatening the rookie record for sacks — 14.5, set by Jevon Kearse in 1999 — as Chubb now has nine sacks in 10 games, including 7.5 in the past five games.

 

Denver has a two-point plan for containing Ben Roethlisberger, per coach Vance Joseph: Contain him in the pocket to minimize broken plays, and tackle his arms. “If you don’t tackle the arms, he’s getting the ball off,” Joseph said. “I’ve seen guys on his legs and he’s throwing the ball 50 yards in the air. The key is to have a great rush plan, and once we get there, to tackle his arms where he can’t throw the football.”

 

Giants vs Eagles NFL Week 12 Betting Lines & Prediction

 

Latest Steelers vs Broncos NFL Week 12 Betting Trends

  • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings
  • Underdog is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings
  • Steelers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Denver
  • Steelers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings
  • Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh’s last 12 games
  • Denver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games

 

Expert Prediction

Buy this number up to 3.5 and take Denver.
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