While oddsmakers everywhere have installed Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints as prohibitive favorites to win Super Bowl LIII, the top seed in the NFC will undoubtedly have their hands full in trying to get past the collective of Super Bowl contenders that are lurking among all 12 playoff participants this postseason.
Thanks to this look at the NFL futures odds to claim this season’s Super Bowl hardware, you’re going to get the expert insight that you’ll need in order to decide whether the Saints are the best pick to win it all as a +250 pick or whether one of the other teams in the playoffs is a better pick to get the Super Bowl upset.
Updated Super Bowl LIII Odds – January 2nd Edition
Watch live as quarterback Nick Foles meets with the media. https://t.co/ZkJbRkhhhd— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) 2 de enero de 2019
- New Orleans Saints 5/2
- Kansas City Chiefs 9/2
- Los Angeles Rams 5/1
- New England Patriots 6/1
- Chicago Bears 8/1
- Baltimore Ravens 14/1
- Los Angeles Chargers 16/1
- Dallas Cowboys 25/1
- Houston Texans 25/1
- Seattle Seahawks 25/1
- Indianapolis Colts 25/1
- Philadelphia Eagles 25/1
The Eagles made the playoffs thanks to Minnesota’s Week 17 loss against Chicago, but I’m going on record right now to say that there won’t be any ‘Philly Specials’ going down this postseason as the Birds make a one-and-done playoff appearance this year.
Andrew Luck is a bad man! Indy’s franchise quarterback had a phenomenal, MVP-caliber year in leading the Colts to a stunning playoff appearance.
If Indianapolis, which has won four straight and nine of its last 10 games, gets past Houston in their wild-card opener, could Luck beat Tom Brady in a shootout against New England? All I know is that the Colts look like they could play with every team in the AFC playoffs.
For me, Seattle is offering some absolutely stupendous value as a +2500 pick to win it all. Russell Wilson and company hit the postseason having won two straight and six of their last seven games and are looking eerily similar to their once, perennially-powerful Legion of Boom teams. Make no mistake about it, Seattle looks like a ‘must-bet’ team that could very well upset anyone in the entire postseason.
The Texans will get Indy in their wild-card opener and then, they’ll face Kansas City in the divisional round. Houston’s got an elite defense and some serious star power on both sides of the ball, but I just can’t see their inconsistent offense keeping pace with the Chiefs to get the road upset in Arrowhead. Save your futures odds cash on Houston.
The Cowboys got hot at just the right time, by winning seven of their final eight games to win the NFC East and reach the postseason. However, Dallas lost to Seattle 24-13 on the road in Week 3. Will the ‘Boys get their revenge against the Seahawks in their playoff opener? Nope, not gonna’ happen, even at home.
Los Angeles Chargers
The Chargers had a fantastic campaign that saw them win a dozen games while beating the likes of the Seahawks, Steelers, and Chiefs this season.
So, why do Philip Rivers and the Bolts look like a scary pick to win their wild-card opener against Baltimore? Of, yeah, because they got smacked around by the Ravens 22-10 in Week 16, at home no less. At +1600, the Chargers are a team that could win it all – or get knocked out in the first round!
Well, since we’re already talking about Baltimore, I should probably say that the Ravens are the AFC’s version of Seattle. Baltimore has won three straight and six of their final seven games after turning to rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson and altering their style of play on offense.
With Jackson under center, Baltimore has turned into a powerful rushing team that has a unique player in the lightning-fast Jackson that no team can truly quite prepare for. Oh, and then there’s the fact that Baltimore has an outstanding defense that finished second in points allowed (17.9 ppg). At +1400, I’m thinking Baltimore’s value as an upset longshot pick is astounding.
Speaking of teams that aren’t exactly favorites, but that no one wants to face and the Chicago Bears are definitely on that list. Chicago hit the postseason having won four straight and nine of their final 10 games overall. More importantly, the Bears now have an offense that finished an encouraging ninth in scoring (26.3 ppg) while leading the league in fewest points allowed (17.7 ppg).
Chicago has held four consecutive opponents to 17 points or less with three of those teams getting held to 10 points or less. After opening against Philly in the wild card round, Chicago will almost certainly face a Rams team they beat 15-6 at home in Week 14, so a date in the NFC title game looks like a real possibility from where I’m sitting.
New England Patriots
Tom Brady and Bill Belichick might be going down as arguably the greatest head coach and quarterback in NFL history, but their past history means nothing to me right now and the fact of the matter is that this year’s version of the New England Patriots is mediocre at best if you ask me.
Yes, New England won 11 games this season and that looks impressive on the surface, but really, this is a team that gave up 31 points to Jacksonville, 26 points against Detroit and an identical 34 points against Tennessee and Miami. Think about that for a moment and then consider New England’s Super Bowl chances before you lay a dime on the Pats this postseason.
Los Angeles Rams
Yes, the Rams are an elite and legitimate Super Bowl favorite that won a stupendous 13 games this season, but how they’ll respond from consecutive losses against Chicago and Philly in weeks 14 and 15 remains to be seen.
Oh, and then there’s the fact that Los Angeles will almost assuredly play the Bears again in the divisional round if Chicago gets past Philly in their wild-card opener. The Rams are a good pick to win it all, but they certainly don’t look unbeatable as the postseason gets set to open.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs were the most ‘fun’ team to watch in the league this season with their league-leading offense (35.3 ppg), but Kansas City’s defense has been almost non-existent on several occasions this season, including all four of their losses. Case in point, the Chiefs gave up 43 points to New England, an insane 54 points against the Rams and 38 points against Seattle.
However, no one has been able to stop Kansas City’s high-powered offense, so if the AFC West Super Bowl hopefuls play any defense whatsoever, they could very well win it all, which is why K.C. is offering some great value as a +450 pick to win it all.
New Orleans Saints
There’s a reason why New Orleans is the prohibitive favorite to win Super Bowl 53 everyone. Let’s see…New Orleans has a future Hall of Fame superstar quarterback in Drew Brees that doesn’t make mistakes. They’ve got a pair of gifted running backs that compliment one another perfectly. The Saints have a superstar in wide receiver Michael Thomas and another in cornerback Marshon Lattimore.
Most of all, the Saints have steadily improved on the defensive side of the ball in limiting six of their final eight opponents to 17 points or less. New Orleans has never lost a home playoff game under Brees and Sean Payton and they’ll be at home throughout the NFC portion of the playoffs and that alone means they’re offering great value to win Super Bowl 53.