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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: Week 15 Line and Betting Trends

Written by on December 15, 2020

NFL News and Rumors

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-5) visit the Atlanta Falcons (4-9) on Sunday, December 20, 2020 in matchup between NFC South rivals at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta is a 5.5-point underdog. The over/under is set at 50.5 for the contest.

Game Info

  • Game Day: Sunday, December 20, 2020
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Atlanta, GA
  • Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
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Betting Information

Buccaneers vs Falcons Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Buccaneers -5.5 -115 -105 50.5 -110 -110 N/A N/A

Buccaneers Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay has put together a 7-6 record against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers are 4-2 ATS when favored by at least 5.5 points.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have hit the over in seven out of 13 outings this season (53.8%).
  • The Buccaneers, on average, score 3.7 more points per game this season (28.5) than the Falcons allow (24.8).
  • When they meet or go over their scoring average this season, Tampa Bay is 5-0 and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Atlanta is 3-5 overall and 3-5 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 24.8 points.
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Falcons Betting Insights

  • Atlanta has put together a losing 5-8 record against the spread this season.
  • Just eight of Atlanta’s 13 games this year have gone over the point total (38.5% of its outings).
  • The Falcons average points scored this season (25.2) and the Buccaneers points allowed (22.6) are within 2.6 points of each other.
  • In games where Atlanta scores at least 25.2 points this season, they are 3-2 overall and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Tampa Bay is 5-1 overall and 5-1 against the spread this season in games where they allow fewer than 22.6 points.
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Computer Picks

Computer picks for Buccaneers vs Falcons
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-5.5) Over (50.5) Buccaneers 28 Falcons 22

Total Facts

  • The Buccaneers and their opponents have recorded more than this matchup’s over/under (50.5 points) in 46.2% of their outings this year (six of 13 opportunities).
  • The Falcons have played in five games this season (out of 13 total matchups — 38.5% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 50.5 points.
  • The Buccaneers and the Falcons combine to average 3.2 more points per game than the over/under of 50.5 set for this matchup.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.1 less points per game (47.4) than this game’s total of 50.5 points.
  • The average over/under the Buccaneers have had set in matchups this year is 0.6 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average total for Falcons games this season is 0.5 fewer points than the point total of 50.5 in this outing.
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Buccaneers vs Falcons: Last 5 Meetings

Atlanta holds an edge against Tampa Bay over the past five meetings between these two squads, putting together a 4-1 record in those games. The Buccaneers and Falcons have an even 1-1 record against the spread in those games. Atlanta outscored Tampa Bay 142-139 in those five head-to-head matchups.

Buccaneers vs Falcons: Last Five Meetings
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
12/29/2019 Buccaneers Buccaneers -1 48 -110 +-104 373-329 ATL 28-22 ATL
11/24/2019 Falcons Falcons -3.5 51.5 -180 +155 446-337 TB 35-22 TB
12/30/2018 N/A Buccaneers N/A N/A N/A N/A 489-433 ATL 34-32 ATL
10/14/2018 N/A Falcons N/A N/A N/A N/A 510-417 TB 34-29 ATL
12/18/2017 N/A Buccaneers N/A N/A N/A N/A 410-373 ATL 24-21 ATL

Betting Insights: Last Three Games (Both Teams)

  • The Buccaneers average total over the last three games is 3.2 points fewer than the 50.5 over/under given for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay is 2-1 against the spread and 1-2 straight up in their last three outcomes.
  • The under has been the norm for Tampa Bay. They have failed to reach the total two times in their last three games.
  • The Falcons total over the last three games is 9.5 points fewer than the 50.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
  • Atlanta has struggled to cover recently, going 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 straight up over the last three contests.
  • Atlanta has gone under the total three times in their last three games.

Injury Report

Buccaneers: C A.Q. Shipley: Out (Neck), TE O.J. Howard: Out (Achilles), SS Justin Evans: Out (Foot), RB T.J. Logan: Out (Knee), NT Vita Vea: Out (Ankle), RB Ronald Jones II: Questionable (Finger), WR John Franklin: Out (Knee), CB Jamel Dean: Questionable (Groin)

Falcons: WR Julio Jones: Questionable (Hamstring), G James Carpenter: Questionable (Groin), FS Ricardo Allen: Questionable (Concussion), SS Damontae Kazee: Out (Achilles), OT Kaleb McGary: Questionable (Personal), CB Jordan Miller: Out (Oblique), WR Olamide Zaccheaus: Out (Toe), DE Marlon Davidson: Questionable (Knee)

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